2024 presidential election live updates: Shock new Trump-Harris presidential poll reveals a stunning change among young voters

By Daily Mail (U.S.) | Created at 2024-09-24 15:35:59 | Updated at 2024-09-30 17:16:36 6 days ago
Truth

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior Political Reporter

Published: 12:46 BST, 24 September 2024 | Updated: 16:31 BST, 24 September 2024

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Welcome to the DailyMail.com's daily U.S. politics live blog.

With 41 days until Election Day, new polling out Tuesday reveals a stunning lead for one candidate among young voters. 

In New York City, President Biden will make his final address to the United Nations General Assembly in the morning.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump will be campaigning in Georgia with Kamala Harris back in Washington, D.C.

New poll finds Kamala Harris opening a wide lead over Donald Trump among young voters

A new poll out Tuesday showed a widening gap among young voters choosing between Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump.

Harris leads Trump by 31 points among people aged 18-29 who are likely to vote in the presidential election, according to the poll by Harvard University's Institute of Politics (IOP) at the Harvard Kennedy School.

That's a dramatic switch from Harvard's survey from this spring, which had President Biden leading Trump by just 13 points among likely youth voters. That was alarming news for Democrats at the time, who generally do better among young voters, and likely reflected the age of the then-Democratic candidate for president, Biden, 81.

After Biden dropped out of the race in July to be replaced by the much younger Harris, 59, things changed dramatically for the race and that is reflected in the young voter results.

'This poll reveals a significant shift in the overall vibe and preferences of young Americans as the campaign heads into the final stretch,' longtime IOP polling director John Della Volpe told Fox News. 'Vice President Harris has strengthened the Democratic position among young voters, leading Trump on key issues and personal qualities.'

The poll also finds:

  • A significant enthusiasm gap between young Democrats and Republicans, with 74% of young Democrats saying they will 'definitely' vote, compared to 60% of young Republicans.
  • A widening gender gap, nearly doubling from 17 points in the Spring poll to 30 points now, with Harris leading 70% to 23% among likely female voters.
  • Harris outperformed Trump on key personal qualities and issues, with substantial leads in empathy (+33), relatability (+24), honesty (+22), climate change (+32), abortion (+31), health care (+26), and gun violence prevention (+25) among all young adults.

Both candidates will spend the majority of the remaining 41 days before Election Day targeting crucial swing states.

 U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, U.S. August 20, 2024 and former U.S. President Donald Trump in Bedminster, New Jersey, U.S., August 15, 2024 are seen in a combination of file photographs. REUTERS/Marco Bello, Jeenah Moon/File Photo

New poll reveals which candidate has the edge on foreign policy

New polling shows Vice President Kamala Harris leads on foreign policy nationally, but when it comes to the critical battleground states that will decide the election, former President Donald Trump has an edge.

In the new poll by the Institute for Global Affairs, 53 percent of Americans nationally said the Democratic presidential nominee is more likely to pursue foreign policy that benefits people like them to Trump's 47 percent.

52 percent also said she would be a strong leader who advance America's interests internationally compared to Trump's 48 percent.

But when the poll zeroed in on swing states, the results were nearly reversed.

In the battleground states, 53 percent of Americans said the Republican presidential nominee is more likely to pursue a foreign policy that benefits people like them to Harris' 47 percent.

And 54 percent also said he would be a strong leader who advance America's interests internationally compared to Harris' 46 percent.

Nationally, Americans also viewed Harris as more likely to boost the U.S.' international reputation 53 percent over Trump's 47 percent. In swing states, Trump led on this 51 percent to 49 percent.

Biden tells the UN: Putin's war in Ukraine has 'failed'

US President Joe Biden speaks during the 79th Session of the United Nations General Assembly at the United Nations headquarters in New York City on September 24, 2024. (Photo by TIMOTHY A. CLARY / AFP) (Photo by TIMOTHY A. CLARY/AFP via Getty Images)

Biden demands an end to the civil war in Sudan and demands other nations stop arming the opposing sides

Biden on the violence between Israel and Hezbollah: 'Full scale war is not in anybody's interest'

US President Joe Biden speaks during the 79th Session of the United Nations General Assembly at the United Nations headquarters in New York City on September 24, 2024. (Photo by ANGELA WEISS / AFP) (Photo by ANGELA WEISS/AFP via Getty Images)

Biden says the world must not 'flinch' from the 'horrors' of the Hamas attack on Israel on October 7

President Joe Biden laid out the need for greater peace and stability in the Middle East as it teeters on the brink of total war.

He urged the United Nations not to forget the horrors of the October 7 Hamas terrorist attack or the suffering of Palestinian civilians.

His speech came as Israel kept pounding Lebanon with airstrikes that have killed more than 500 people, according to the country's health ministry.

Biden called for a ceasefire in Gaza, even though a deal over the release of hostages may be out of reach before the end of his presidency.

He also reiterated his belief that a two-state solution is needed for Israel.

'They didn’t ask for this war,’ Biden said of the civilians in Gaza

U.S. President Joe Biden addresses the 79th United Nations General Assembly at U.N. headquarters in New York, U.S., September 24, 2024.  REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton

Biden defends in the Afghanistan withdrawal: Says it was a 'hard decision' but the 'right one'

President Joe Biden defended the withdrawal from Afghanistan in his final speech to the United Nations General Assembly.

The 81-year-old commander-in-chief said the decision to pull troops was a ‘hard decision’, but the ‘right one’.

He admitted that the evacuation ended in tragedy, and that he thinks about the 13 American service members killed at Kabul International Airport ‘every day’.

It was a hard decision. But the right decision. Four American presidents had to face that decision. But I was determined not to leave it to a fifth.

Shots fired outside Kamala Harris campaign office in critical swing state

A district campaign office in Tempe, Arizona, was targeted by gunfire according to NBC 12 News.

The incident is being investigated as a 'property crime,' according to local police and no one was injured.

Sean McEnerney, coordinated campaign manager for the Harris campaign in Arizona, told the outlet:

Overnight, several shots were fired into our Tempe Democratic Party coordinated campaign office.
We are grateful to Tempe Police for coming quickly to the scene and are fortunate no one was present or injured.

US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris boards Air Force Two as she departs LaGuardia Airport in Queens, New York, September 22, 2024. Kamala Harris returns to Washington after attending a campaign fundraiser in New York. (Photo by Matt Rourke / POOL / AFP) (Photo by MATT ROURKE/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

Kamala Harris said she 'worked her a** off' under ex-lover mayor Willie Brown... but new information about her time there reveals the truth

Kamala Harris was frequently absent for California Medical Assistance Commission meetings, even though she was appointed to the position by her boyfriend at the time and then-Assembly Speaker Willie Brown.

Brown appointed Harris to the CMAC position in 1994, drawing some criticism for impropriety despite Brown’s willingness to publicly flaunt accusations of political patronage.

Harris had already served six months on the Unemployment Insurance Appeals Board, a job that paid $97,088 annually, but resigned to take the new position with CMAC.

It’s unclear why Harris missed so many meetings, as she took leave from her job as the Alameda County District Attorney’s office according to the Los Angeles Times.

Idaho man charged with threatening to kill Donald Trump in phone calls to Mar-a-Lago

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

HOLD FOR CONFIRMATION An Idaho man has been charged with threatening to kill Donald Trump in phone calls made to the former president's Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida, according to court documents.Warren Jones Crazybull, 64, of Sandpoint, made at least nine threatening phone calls to Trump's home on July 31, according to a criminal complaint and affidavit that was first reported Monday by Forbes.Mar-a-Lago security received a phone call from a phone number with the caller ID "Warren Jones," and Crazybull made several statements, including "Find Trump¿I am coming down to Bedminster tomorrow. I am going to down him personally and kill him," the court filings said.

A man from Sandpoint, Idaho was charged in federal court with threatening to kill Donald Trump.

In at least nine calls made to Trump's Florida residence at his Mar-a-Lago club, Warren Jones Crazybull, 64, said he was going to kill the former president.

The calls were made on July 31 – just weeks after the assassination attempt on Trump at his rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 13 where he was shot in the right ear.

In one call, according to a criminal complaint and affidavit first reported on Monday, Crazybull threatened to 'find Trump' and said he was 'coming down to Bedminster tomorrow,' which is the town where Trump National Golf Club is located in New Jersey.

'I am going to down him personally, and kill him,' he said in the call, according to the Department of Justice complaint.

Crazybull was tracked to Montana and arrested August 1.. He was indicted in Idaho federal court on August 20. A trial is scheduled for October 28.

The suspect pleaded not guilty to the single charge of making threats against a former president.

Kamala Harris seizes narrow lead in Michigan in new poll

FILE - Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event Sept. 20, 2024, in Madison, Wis. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)

Vice President Kamala Harris seized a narrow lead in a new Michigan poll, as she seeks to reassemble Joe Biden’s ‘blue wall.’

She leads Trump 48 to 45, according to a new USA Today / Suffolk University poll. That falls within the 4 point margin of error. It comes days after Trump visited the state for a town hall led by his former press secretary Arkansas Gov. Sarah Sanders.

In an indication of the passions of the race, one respondent told the paper he’d ‘vote for a cockroach-infested hemorrhoid over Donald Trump.’

Harris has held narrow leads in a series of recent polls, and now holds a two-point edge in the realclearpolitics average. But the race is essentially tied in Pennsylvania, which has 19 electoral votes to Michigan’s 15.

GOP lawmaker accused of putting his mistress on payroll slams 'tabloid garbage' reports

New York Republican Congressman Anthony D'Esposito is firing back after being in hot water following bombshell allegations that he had an affair with a woman and then put her on his taxpayer-funded payroll.

The latest political tabloid garbage being peddled by The New York Times is nothing more than a slimy, partisan 'hit piece' designed to distract Long Islanders from Democrats’ failing record on border security, the economy, and foreign policy.
My personal life has never interfered with my ability to deliver results for New York’s 4th district, and I have upheld the highest ethical standards of personal conduct.  Voters deserve better than the Times' gutter politics.

According to the New York Times, the 42-year-old first-term lawmaker was having an affair with Devin Faas. It attributed news of the relationship to four people familiar with it.

Last April, Faas started receiving $2,000 a month for a part-time job in his district office.

Biden's UN speech comes under the shadow of war

 President Joe Biden is presented with the Global Citizen Award by the Clinton Global Initiative (CGI) on Monday, September 23, 2024, in New York City, United States Former President Bill Clinton, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and Chelsea Clinton and The First Lady of the United States, Jill Biden were on the stage. (Photo by Selcuk Acar/Anadolu via Getty Images)

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent

Joe Biden will give his last speech as president to the United Nations General Assembly on Tuesday morning.

Biden is expected to address the need to end the Middle East conflict and the 17-month-old civil war in Sudan and to highlight U.S. and Western allies' support for Kyiv since Russia invaded Ukraine.

But he’ll also lay out what he sees as his foreign policy legacy as president.

National Security Council spokesman John Kirby told reporters last week that Biden will ‘reaffirm America’s leadership on the world stage’ in New York and will ‘rally global action to tackle the world’s most pressing challenges.’

The president’s speech, however, comes under the shadow of the presidential race. His vice president, Kamala Harris, is expected to keep many of his foreign policy initiatives.

But there are concerns about U.S. support for the war in Ukraine should Donald Trump win.

Biden and Harris will hold separate meetings at the White House on Thursday with Ukrainian President Zelensky.

Kamala Harris seeks to shutdown ‘border czar’ criticism, weighs a trip to Arizona’s border

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

Kamala Harris is planning to head to the southern border for the first time in her presidential run.

The vice president’s campaign is considering a trip to the Arizona southern border on Friday as Harris continues to face backlash from Republicans for her handling of immigration issues as the ‘border czar.’

Harris has faced repeated criticism for not visiting the border enough as VP and the latest trip could be an effort to shut down those attacks.

FILE - Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event Sept. 20, 2024, in Madison, Wis. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)

The former president has gone to different areas along the border over the last eight years.

The border is a hot button issue in the 2024 race amid record-high illegal crossings under President Joe Biden and VP Harris leading to other issues like a lack of affordable housing and rising crime.

Many times the issue of immigration ranks second or third on top issues to voters in November’s election.

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