Aston Villa vs Juventus Prediction

We look ahead to Wednesday’s UEFA Champions League match at Villa Park with our Aston Villa vs Juventus prediction and preview. The two sides will look to boost their chances of advancing to the knockout phase.

Aston Villa vs Juventus: The Key Insights

• The Opta supercomputer favours Aston Villa to win this one, with the hosts coming out victorious in 41.7% of its 10,000 pre-match simulations.
• Villa have won seven of their last eight home matches in major European competitions (one loss), with five of those wins coming by a one-goal margin.
• Through the first four matchdays in the UEFA Champions League this season, Juventus suffered the most opposition high turnovers of any team (54).

Aston Villa will hope for another memorable night when they welcome Juventus to Villa Park in the Champions League on Wednesday.

Despite a 1-0 defeat away at Club Brugge last time out in the Champions League, it’s still been a successful return to Europe’s premier club competition for Villa, winning three of their opening four games to leave them eighth in the table.

Those three wins included a 1-0 victory over six-time European champions Bayern Munich on Matchday 2, with striker Jhon Durán scoring the winner after coming off the bench.

Durán has scored in each of his two home Champions League appearances for Villa this season; the only two Villa players to score in three home appearances in a row in major European competition are Ian Taylor in the 1997-98 UEFA Cup (three) and Ollie Watkins in last season’s UEFA Conference League (four).

The Villans have won their opening two home Champions League matches, with only Tottenham in 2010 and Leicester City in 2016 winning their first three among English teams.

They have also kept two clean sheets, with Milan in 1992-93 the only side to win their first three home games without conceding, while Chelsea were the last team to keep clean sheets in their first three home games overall (two wins and a draw in 1999).

Juventus, meanwhile, have also enjoyed a solid start to this season’s Champions League, losing just one of their opening four games, and they sit two points behind Villa in 11th.

They’ve also been in decent domestic form. The Bianconeri are currently sixth in Serie A and are the only side to remain unbeaten, drawing 0-0 at Milan on Saturday.

Thiago Motta will hope striker Dusan Vlahovic is fit after he missed the draw in Milan with a knock suffered on international duty. He has been involved in five goals in his six away Champions League appearances for Juventus (four goals, one assist), including at least one in his last three. No Juve player has ever scored or assisted in four consecutive away appearances.

Despite the form of Vlahovic, though, Juventus have won just one of their last seven away Champions League matches (two draws, four defeats), beating RB Leipzig 3-2 earlier this campaign. They had won seven of their previous nine away games before this run.

Wednesday’s game pits them against Unai Emery, who has beaten Juventus twice before in the Champions League, doing so with Sevilla in 2015 and Villarreal in 2022. No manager has ever beaten Juve with three different teams in the competition.

In terms of injury news, Ezri Konsa could return for Villa on Wednesday after missing the 2-2 home draw with Crystal Palace in the Premier League at the weekend. Amadou Onana may also feature, though Jacob Ramsey and Boubacar Kamara are unavailable.

For Juventus, as well as Vlahovic, there are doubts Douglas Luiz will be fit to face his former club, while Juan Cabal and Gleison Bremer remain out.

Aston Villa vs Juventus Head-to-Head

This will be the third time Aston Villa and Juventus have faced each other in the European Cup/Champions League, following two meetings in the 1982-83 quarter-finals. Juventus won 5-2 on aggregate thanks to victories in both legs, with the Italian side going on to finish as runners-up that season.

Juventus have only won three of their last 15 away matches against English sides in European competition (three draws, nine defeats), while this will be their first such trip since losing 4-0 to Chelsea in the Champions League in November 2021.

Aston Villa vs Juventus Prediction

The Opta supercomputer is backing Villa to return to winning ways on Wednesday, ending a run of six games in all competitions without a victory in 41.7% of pre-match simulations.

It’s a tough fixture for Juventus, though they came away with the three points themselves 31.5% of the time. The draw, meanwhile, is rated at a 26.8% probability.

Despite having an inferior start to Villa, Juventus are given a higher chance of going further in this season’s Champions League, reaching the round of 16 in 61.4% of simulations to Villa’s 57%. Neither are considered among the favourites to win the competition, though, with Juventus given a 2.3% of doing so while Villa’s chances of lifting the trophy stand at just 0.7%.

Aston Villa vs Juventus Predicted Lineups

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off on Wednesday, here are the Opta Power Rankings for both sides.

Aston Villa vs Juventus Squads

Aston Villa: Emiliano Martínez, Robin Olsen, Joe Gauci, Matty Cash, Kosta Nedeljkovic, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Diego Carlos, Tyrone Mings, Ian Maatsen, Lucas Digne, Boubacar Kamara, Ross Barkley, John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, Emiliano Buendía, Jaden Philogene, Amadou Onana, Jacob Ramsey, Morgan Rogers, Leon Bailey, Jhon Durán, Ollie Watkins.

Head Coach: Unai Emery

Juventus: Mattia Perrin, Carlo Pinsoglio, Michele Di Gregorio, Giovanni Daffara, Bremer, Federico Gatti, Danilo, Pierre Kalulu, Andrea Cambiaso, Juan Cabal, Nicolò Savona, Jonas Rouhi, Manuel Locatelli, Teun Koopmeiners, Weston McKennie, Vasilije Adžić, Arthur, Khephren Thuram, Nicolò Fagioli, Douglas Luiz, Francisco Conceição, Dušan Vlahović, Kenan Yıldız, Nicolás González, Arkadiusz Milik, Timothy Weah, Lorenzo Anghelè, Samuel Mbangula.

Head coach: Thiago Motta

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