Black turnout is lagging in North Carolina, a warning sign for Harris
Politico ^ | Oct 30, 2024 | By ELENA SCHNEIDER 10/30/2024 08:08 PM EDT
Posted on 10/30/2024 6:14:53 PM PDT by 11th_VA
GOLDSBORO, North Carolina — Early vote numbers in North Carolina show the electorate skewing older and whiter, compared to the state’s voter registration, a red flag for Democrats who need Black voters to turn out in heavy numbers if Kamala Harris is going to flip this state.
As of Wednesday, Black voters make up 18 percent of the electorate in early voting, and some Democratic operatives said they must bump that up to about 20 percent for Harris to be competitive statewide. In 2020, Black voters were 19 percent of the electorate, when Donald Trump narrowly won the state. And Democrats acknowledge that without a swing in their favor in the last days of early voting or on Election Day, it may not be good enough.
About 36,000 more African Americans had voted in-person by this point in 2020 than in 2024, and “that gap has to be closed among African Americans for Democrats to win,” said Thomas Mills, a Democratic strategist in the state. While acknowledging the Black vote is “lagging,” former Rep. G.K. Butterfield (D-N.C.), who retired from his rural, eastern North Carolina seat in 2022, said he believes Democrats will close the gap, predicting “this week is going to be impressive” for African American turnout.
“Black voters know the consequences of another Trump presidency,” he said. “And so I believe, at the end of the day, we will have an Obama-like turnout.”
…
… Harris, it’s not just a turnout problem. There are also signs of erosion in her support in North Carolina among Black men, especially young Black men, according to public polling. Harris is expected to win a majority of African American voters in North Carolina, and nationally, but any slippage with this group would be a blow to the vice president.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: North Carolina
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1 posted on 10/30/2024 6:14:53 PM PDT by 11th_VA
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