Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Prediction

We look ahead to Saturday’s Premier League game at Selhurst Park with our Crystal Palace vs Arsenal prediction and preview. Can the Gunners put the top two under pressure with a win?

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Stats: The Key Insights

• Arsenal are the favourites to win on Saturday, with the Opta supercomputer giving them a 56.4% chance of coming out on top.
• The Gunners are unbeaten in all nine of their Premier League London derbies in 2024.
• Crystal Palace have lost their last four Premier League meetings with Arsenal.

Arsenal have drawn their last two Premier League games but will be looking to put some pressure back on Liverpool and Chelsea when they face Crystal Palace for the second time this week on Saturday.

The Gunners had to come from behind in their EFL Cup quarter-final on Wednesday night, as Gabriel Jesus’ second-half hat-trick helped them edge a five-goal thriller, after Jean-Philippe Mateta had given Palace a fourth-minute lead.

Arsenal are now unbeaten in nine matches in all competitions, though Mikel Arteta will be keen to mirror that result in the league after a frustrating 0-0 draw with Everton.

A London derby may be just what the Gunners need – they are unbeaten in all nine in the Premier League in 2024 (W7 D2). However, they have not avoided defeat in all such games in a calendar year since their Invincibles season of 2004 (W7 D3).

While much of the focus will once again be on Arsenal’s set-piece prowess – they have scored more such goals than any other side in the Premier League this season (nine), excluding penalties – Palace will feel they can cause some problems for their defence.

Arsenal kept nine clean sheets in 10 league games between February and September. However, they have since conceded in each of their last six on the road.

Oliver Glasner’s side will fancy their chances on home soil too, having already beaten Arsenal’s north London rivals, Tottenham, there earlier in the season.

Having lost five of their first eight league matches this season (D3), Palace have now lost just one of their last eight and are unbeaten in five (W2 D3). After beating Brighton 3-1 last Sunday, they are looking to record back-to-back wins for the first time since a run of three in May.

Their previous home London derby, however, ended in a 2-0 loss to Fulham. The Eagles have alternated between defeat (four) and victory (three) in their last seven Premier League derbies on home soil.

Former Arsenal striker Eddie Nketiah gave Palace hope of igniting a late comeback on Wednesday with his 85th-minute goal, and he will be hoping to make his mark against his old club again. He is still yet to hit the back of the net for Palace in the Premier League despite having 20 shots across 11 appearances.

Declan Rice was not involved in midweek, but he was just being rested and is expected return on Saturday. That said, Ben White, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Oleksandr Zinchenko and Riccardo Calafiori will all miss out.

Palace emerged from Wednesday’s loss without any more fitness concerns, but Daniel Muñoz will miss the game with suspension.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Head-to-Head

Arsenal have lost just two of their last 19 away league games against Crystal Palace (W10 D7), with both defeats coming in the Premier League by a 3-0 scoreline (April 2017, April 2022).

However, Crystal Palace have lost their last four Premier League meetings with Arsenal, having lost just one of their previous eight against them (W2 D5).

Since beating Arsenal in April 2022, Palace have lost their last five games against the Gunners in all competitions by an aggregate score of 15-3.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Prediction

Arsenal are expected to get back to winning ways in the Premier League on Saturday, winning 56.6% of the Opta supercomputer’s 10,000 pre-match simulations.

Despite Palace’s recent momentum, they are given a 19.9% chance of victory, with the other 23.5% of simulations ending in a draw.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Predicted Lineups

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off on Saturday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

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