Europa League Predictions: Opta Supercomputer’s 2024-25 Knockout Projections

Now that we know our last eight contenders for the remainder of 2024-25 UEFA Europa League, who are the favourites to lift the trophy? The Opta supercomputer’s Europa League predictions break down each team’s chances of success.

After the novelty of a 36-team league stage, we are back to simpler things in the 2024-25 UEFA Europa League. Straightforward knockout football.

After the knockout play-off round and the last 16, we now know the competition’s final eight contenders. But who are the favourites to win?

The Opta supercomputer has simulated the remainder of the 2024-25 UEL knockout stages 10,000 times to analyse each side’s probability of reaching each stage in the competition, as well as projecting a potential winner.

Here are its latest Europa League predictions for remainder of the competition.

Qualified for the last eight: Athletic Club, Bodø/Glimt, Eintracht Frankfurt, Lazio, Lyon, Manchester United, Rangers, Tottenham Hotspur.

Eliminated: Ajax, AZ, Besiktas, Dynamo Kyiv, Elfsborg, FCSB, FC Midtjylland, FC Porto, FC Twente, Fenerbahçe, Ferencvárosi TC, Galatasaray, Ludogorets Razgrad, Maccabi Tel Aviv, Malmö FF, Nice, Olympiakos, PAOK Salonika, Qarabag, Real Sociedad, Rigas FS, RSC Anderlecht, Roma, Slavia Prague, Sporting Braga, TSG Hoffenheim, Union Saint-Gilloise, Viktoria Plzen.

How Does the Opta Supercomputer Model Work?

The model estimates the probability of each match outcome (win, draw or loss) by using betting market odds and the Opta Power Rankings. The odds and rankings are based on historical and recent team performances. The competition in its entirety is simulated 10,000 times to produce a final projection for each side.

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