Everton vs Tottenham Prediction

We look ahead to Sunday’s Premier League match at Goodison Park with our Everton vs Tottenham prediction and preview. Can David Moyes secure the first win of his second spell with the Toffees?

Everton vs Tottenham Stats: The Key Insights

• Tottenham are only slight favourites for victory with the Opta supercomputer, winning 39.2% of match simulations compared to Everton’s 34.4%.
• David Moyes beat Tottenham 2-1 last season as West Ham boss. The last manager to beat Ange Postecoglou in the league with two different teams was Takahiro Shimotaira in the Japanese J1 League.
• An average of 3.6 goals have been scored per Premier League game involving Tottenham under Postecoglou (59 matches, 117 goals, 93 conceded), the highest figure of any manager to oversee 50 or more matches in the competition.

Sunday’s Premier League action features a meeting between two out-of-form sides at Goodison Park, with one manager hoping to kickstart his reign and the other seeing his position questioned amid a miserable run of results.

David Moyes’ second stint as Everton manager began with a 1-0 home defeat to Aston Villa, which left them teetering just one point above the relegation zone. Ange Postecoglou, meanwhile, is under pressure after Tottenham’s winless run stretched to five Premier League matches following Wednesday’s north London derby defeat at Arsenal.

Moyes oversaw a 2-1 win over Tottenham as West Ham manager last season, and could achieve a rare feat if he triumphs over Postecoglou again. The last coach to beat Postecoglou twice in league action with two different clubs was Takahiro Shimotaira in the Japanese J1 League, beating the Australian (then in charge of Yokohama F. Marinos) with Kashiwa Reysol and Yokohama FC.

Everton’s miserable form in front of goal continued in midweek, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin missing several good chances as his goal drought stretched to 16 league matches.

Since the start of November, Everton are the lowest scorers in the Premier League with just five goals in 11 games, and two of those were Craig Dawson own goals in a 4-0 win over Wolves. They have failed to net in 12 games this season, becoming one of only four teams to do so in their opening 20 games of a campaign in the competition, along with Norwich City in 2021-22 (14), Southampton in 2003-04 (12) and Derby County in 2007-08 (12).

Like Spurs, Everton have started 2025 with back-to-back Premier League defeats. The Toffees have lost three straight league games to start a calendar year on six previous occasions, most recently in 2022 and 2023.

Tottenham, meanwhile, have only done so twice in their history (in 1993 and 1994), and while cup victories over Liverpool and Tamworth have given supporters hope of silverware, their poor league form has put Postecoglou under scrutiny.

Languishing in 13th place, Tottenham are closer to the relegation zone (eight points off Wolves) than the top eight (10 points off Bournemouth), and are on course to register their lowest-ever Premier League points tally (43 at their current points-per-game rate).

Injuries to Guglielmo Vicario, Destiny Ugodie, Rodrigo Bentancur, Ben Davies, Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven have not helped Postecoglou’s cause, but he simply must find a way to plug Spurs’ leaky backline.

Since Postecoglou arrived at Tottenham last season, 210 goals have been scored in Spurs’ 59 Premier League games (117 for, 93 against), at an average of 3.6 per match – that is the highest figure among all managers to have overseen at least 50 games in the competition.

With Tottenham’s defence still patched up, they may be relying on their attack – led by Son Heung-min – to make the difference. The South Korean scored at Arsenal in midweek and has been involved in 10 goals in his 12 Premier League starts versus Everton, scoring seven goals and assisting three.

Everton vs Tottenham Head-to-Head

Everton have won just one of their last 24 Premier League games against Spurs (11 draws, 12 defeats), beating them 1-0 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in September 2020.

Tottenham are unbeaten on their last 11 Premier League trips to Goodison, though they have drawn eight times during that run (three wins). They are targeting their first league double over the Toffees since 2017-18, having won 4-0 in the reverse fixture in August.

Everton versus Tottenham at Goodison, meanwhile, is the most drawn specific fixture in Premier League history, with 17 of the 32 meetings finishing level.

Each of the last five such meetings have been drawn, with no exact fixture ever finishing level six times in a row in Premier League history.

Everton vs Tottenham Prediction

The Opta supercomputer struggles to split these teams, with Tottenham narrowly favoured. They are given a 39.2% chance of victory.

That means Everton are given over a 60% chance of a positive result: they won 34.4% of our pre-match simulations, drawing 26.4%.

Everton vs Tottenham Predicted Lineups

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off on Sunday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

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