By GB News (Politics) | Created at 2024-12-05 17:56:06 | Updated at 2024-12-26 00:39:24
2 weeks ago
Nigel Farage could snatch up to 95 seats after Reform UK leapfrogged Labour into second place, a shock new opinion poll has revealed.
The populist party, which only returned five MPs in the 2024 General Election, could receive an exponential 10-point boost to edge closer to Farage’s target of returning hundreds of Reformers to the House of Commons.
Find Out Now’s latest opinion poll showed Reform UK receiving 24 per cent of the vote, one-point ahead of Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour Party.
Kemi Badenoch’s Tories emerged as the largest party, obtaining support from 26 per cent of voters in a modest boost compared to July 4.
Support for the Liberal Democrats and Greens remains effectively unchanged, with the two progressive parties receiving 11 per cent and nine per cent respectively.
Such a situation would likely see Reform UK win 95 seats, with Labour hemorrhaging 205 MPs to collapse to just 207.
Nigel Farage with an inset of a map showing seats in Reform UK's sights
PA/GB NEWS
Reform UK's seats in light blue and potential gains in purple
GB NEWS
North East:
Easington, Washington & Gateshead South, Houghton & Sunderland South, South Shields, Sunderland Central, Durham North, Hartlepool, Stockton North, and Bishop Auckland.
North West:
Makerfield, Leigh & Atherton, Blackpool South, Ashton-under-Lyne, Warrington North, Bolton South & Walkden, Oldham West, Chadderton & Royton, Heywood & Middleton North, Preston, Oldham East & Saddleworth, Bolton North East, Rossendale & Darwen, Burnley, Carlisle, and Blackpool North & Fleetwood.
Yorkshire & Humberside:
Barnsley North, Barnsley South, Rawmarsh & Conisbrough, Hull East, Normanton & Hemsworth, Pontefract, Castleford & Knottingley, Bradford South, Penistone & Stocksbridge, Great Grimsby & Cleethorpes, Halifax, Spen Valley, and Scarborough & Whitby.
Wales:
Rhondda & Ogmore, Merthyr Tydfil & Aberdare, Neath & Swansea East, Pontypridd, Caerphilly, Torfaen, Newport West & Islwyn, Alyn & Deeside, Bridgend, Llanelli, Bangor Aberconwy, and Montgomeryshire & Glyndwr.
West Midlands:
Birmingham Erdington, Stoke-on-Trent Central, Telford, Birmingham Hodge Hill & Solihull, Walsall & Bloxwich, Wolverhampton North East, Birmingham Northfield, Stoke-on-Trent North, Newcastle-under-Lyme, Halesowen, Tipton & Wednesbury, Nuneaton, Cannock Chase, Dudley, Warwickshire North & Bedworth, and Tamworth.
East Midlands:
Derby South, Bolsover, Erewash, Bassetlaw, Wellingborough & Rushden, Amber Valley, and Sherwood Forest.
East of England:
Thurrock, Lowestoft, Norfolk South West, and Basildon & Billericay.
South West of England:
Camborne & Redruth and Plymouth Moor View.
London:
Dagenham & Rainham and Hornchurch & Upminster.
South East of England:
Dover & Deal, Thanet East, Southampton Itchen, Gillingham & Rainham, Folkestone & Hythe, Rochester & Strood, Chatham & Aylesford, Ashford, Sittingbourne & Sheppey, and Havant.
Despite making significant gains, Reform UK would fall well-short of entering power.
Even uniting the right would fail to reach 326 seats, with Tory, Reform UK and Unionist MPs in Northern Ireland only equalling 321.
A progressive alliance of Labour, the Liberal Democrats, Green Party and Nationalist MPs would also fall well-short, reaching just 309.
However, it is clear Farage is hopeful that today’s shock poll is just the beginning of Reform UK’s revolution.
Speaking at the Spectator’s annual awards, earlier this week, the Clacton MP said: "I've got a bit of a shock for you. If you think that I - and four other people, the newcomers into Parliament this year was a shock - I'm afraid, I'm really, very, very sorry, but in the next election in 2029 or before, there will be hundreds of newcomers under the Reform UK label.
"We are about to witness a political revolution, the likes of which we have not seen since Labour after the First World War."
