First NYT/Siena, Now Even More Polling That's Going to Make the Harris Team Lose

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Posted on 09/23/2024 2:22:36 PM PDT by SharpRightTurn

We now have a good idea why Vice President Kamala Harris is looking for another presidential debate. I mentioned the internal polling in an earlier post.

Now, there's new polling out that shows why they're starting to freak out. My colleague Bonchie wrote about the NYT/Siena poll earlier. It has Trump up by 5 points in Arizona, 4 in Georgia, and 2 in North Carolina.

That's a 10-point swing to Trump in Arizona from August. They had Harris up in North Carolina, which was probably wrong, in August. This number is likely much more accurate there. And Trump's holding a similar lead, up 4 points in Georgia.

That's bad enough for Harris. But what about the other battleground states?

Now, there's also the Emerson College poll that's likely to make the Harris team tear their hair out.

Emerson has Trump up in Georgia 50 to 47 percent, Arizona 49 to 48 percent, Wisconsin 49 to 48 percent, and Pennsylvania 48 to 47 percent. Nevada is tied at 48 percent. Harris is ahead 49 to 48 percent in North Carolina and 49 to 47 percent in Michigan.

It should be noted the tweet has the NC numbers reflected incorrectly, they're reversed.

I'm inclined to think Trump is in a better position in North Carolina than Wisconsin, so I'm not sure I would agree with them there, but either way, if that holds, Trump wins, even if Harris ultimately won Nevada, which is tied in that poll. But as we can see from the Teamsters' vote, there's likely a lot of support for Trump in the Rust Belt.

That's not all on the positive side. I wrote about how Virginia is also surprisingly neck and neck, which they probably didn't anticipate, and that's in multiple polls, with Gov. Glenn Youngkin saying it's definitely in play.

Then there's this news about Arizona Latinos from that NYT/Siena poll that even CNN noted and should be a big warning sign to the Kamala campaign: Trump is now up 5 points there, and one would have to think that Latino swing plays a big part in that and that the border is also factoring in there.

Not only did Kamala lose 11 points; Trump gained 4 points. Harris has been a failure at protecting the border.

No wonder they want another debate.

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The state of the race could become harder and harder for the KommieLa/Tampon Tim team to hide. Particularly as Election Day looms closer, (at least some of) the pollsters will want to salvage what they can of their reputations by reporting honest numbers. And, as often pointed out, Trump usually outperforms his polling numbers. Therefore, even assuming some ginned up October Surprise by Deep State operatives and KommieLa's much larger donation war chest to outspend Trump, by Election Day Trump/Vance may even be able to move beyond the margin of cheat.

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