Five Years without the INF Treaty: Lessons and Prospects

By Russia in Global Affairs | Created at 2024-10-01 09:00:52 | Updated at 2024-10-01 19:34:16 13 hours ago
Truth

[1]      These included West Germany’s 72 Pershing-1a missiles whose warheads were under the control of the U.S. military personnel stationed in the country. In August 1987, Chancellor Helmut Kohl said that if the U.S. and USSR agreed to eliminate regional ground-launched missiles, Germany’s Pershing-1a missiles would also be destroyed, which they were (Sherr, 1988; Armus, 1989, p. 10).

[2]      The Oka’s declared maximum range was 400 km. However, it could be increased through upgrades.

[3]      For the U.S. administration’s reaction to the Soviet statements, see: McCartney, 1989; Schemann, 1989; Larsen, 1991, p. 305.

[4]      West Germany announced its new position on 13 February 1989 during Baker’s talks with German leaders. Chancellor Helmut Kohl and Foreign Minister Hans-Dietrich Genscher stated that “the momentum which now has been achieved in the disarmament process in Europe, in particular by the unilateral steps taken by Gorbachev, should not be stopped by a false signal (to modernize the Lance) that could be interpreted as rearmament instead of disarmament” (Washington Post, 1989). For the development of the FOTL situation after Gorbachev’s December speech and until May 1989, see: Larsen, 1991, pp. 289-314; Asmus, 1989, pp. 28-32.

[5]      For the development of the FOTL situation from the fall of 1989 to the spring of 1990, see: Larsen, 1991, pp. 349-371.

[6]      This view was shared by Chief of the General Staff Marshal Sergey Akhromeyev and First Deputy Foreign Minister Georgy Kornienko, who were directly involved in the INF talks (Akhromeyev and Kornienko, 1992; Kornienko, 2001).

[7]      See e.g., Interfax, 2018.

[8]      See also: Grinevsky, 2004; Kokoshin, 2011, p. 17.

[9]      Apparently, the Soviet Union did not take these statements at face value; according to a Washington Post journalist, diplomats at the Soviet Embassy in Washington “never believed [that the U.S.] would build a missile that lacked the range to reach Moscow from its firing sites in Germany” (Hughes, 2009, p. 12).

[10]    In some documents of the Carter administration, which gave the green light to the development of the Pershing-2 missiles, their range was reported as 1,500 km (Memorandum, 1978a, p. 274; Memorandum, 1978b, p. 376).

[11]    In another speech, Bush said: “the Pershing missile system strengthened deterrence and was concrete evidence of United States resolve. If we had not deployed … [Pershing] there would not be an INF Treaty today” (Harwood, 1993, p. 340).

[12]    Some authors say that the Pioneer missiles were eventually deployed at the Gudym military base in Chukotka (Yegorov, 2017).

[13]    For the modernization of the Chinese missile arsenal, see Cordesman, 2016. Missile range data were borrowed from: Missile Threat, 2024a; Missile Threat, 2024b.

[14]    A good overview of China’s anti-access/area-denial strategy in given in Yevtodieva, 2022.

[15]    At that time, the Air Force even developed its own Thor medium-range missile with characteristics similar to the Army’s Jupiter missile (Armacost, 1969).

[16]    The Air Force’s arguments in this dispute can be found in Gunziger, 2021.

[17]    The expression is attributed to the CDU/CSU’s leaders in the Bundestag, Alfred Dregger and Volker Rühe (Larsen, 1991, p. 250).

____________

ABC News, 1984. ABC News Report on Deployment of Pershing II in Europe. August. YouTube, 16 December 2021. Available at: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MrouDvDDMVA&t=313s [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Akhromeyev, S. and Kornienko, G., 1992. Glava IV. 1987 God – pervye uspekhi i neudachi [Chapter IV. Year 1987 – First Successes and Failures]. In: Glazami Marshala i Diplomata. Kritichesky Vzglyad na Vneshnyuyuu Politiku SSSR Do i Posle 1985 g [Through the Eyes of a Marshal and a Diplomat: A Critical View of Soviet Foreign Policy Before and After 1985]. Moscow: Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya.

America’s Strategic Posture, 2023. America’s Strategic Posture. The Final Report of the Congressional Commission on the Strategic Posture of the United States. American Faith, October. Available at: https://americanfaith.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Strategic-Posture-Commission-Report.pdf [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Annual Report, 1983. Annual Report to the Congress by the Secretary of Defense Caspar W. Weinberger. Fiscal Year 1984. Washington, DC: Department of Defense.

Arbatov, A., 2008. Rossiya‒SShA‒Evrosoyuz: Problemy PRO i RSMD [Russia-United States-European Union: The Issues of Missile Defense and INF]. Sovremennaja Evropa, 3, pp. 5-21.

Armacost, M., 1969. Politics of Weapons Innovation: The Thor-Jupiter Controversy. N.Y.: Columbia University Press.

Asmus, R., 1989. The Politics of Modernizing Short-Range Nuclear Forces in West Germany. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation.

At the Meeting…, 1986. Na zasedanii gruppy po podgotovke k vstreche v Reik’yavike. 4 oktyabrya. [At the Meeting of the Preparatory Group for the Reykyavik Summit. 4 October]. In: A. Chernyaev and M. Weber (eds) Otvechaya na vyzov vremeni. Vneshnyaya politika perestroiki: dokumentalnye svidetelstva po zapisyam besed M.S. Gorbachova s zarubezhnymi deyatelyami i drugim materialam [Responding to the Challenge of Our Time. The Foreign Policy of Perestroika: Documentary Evidence from Records of M.S. Gorbachev’s Conversations with Foreign Leaders and Other Materials]. Moscow: Ves’ Mir, 2010, pp. 167-169.

Azanov, R., 2020. Protivoraketny Boi Skorotechen [Anti-Missile Combat Is Swift]. TASS, 22 January. Available at: https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/7578561 [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Biddle, S. and Oelrich, I., 2016. Future Warfare in the Western Pacific: Chinese Antiaccess/Area Denial, U.S. AirSea Battle, and Command of the Commons in East Asia. International Security, 41(1), pp. 7-48

Bogdanov, K., 2017. Jashchik pandory srednei dalnosti [The Intermediate-Range Pandora Box]. Izvestia. Available at: https://iz.ru/687472/konstantin-bogdanov/iashchik-pandory-srednei-dalnosti [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Bonds, T. et al., 2017. What Role Can Land-Based, Multi-Domain Anti-Access/Area Denial Forces Play in Deterring or Defeating Aggression? Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation.

Bugos, S., 2024. Congress Endorses New Nuclear Weapon. Arms Control Today, January/February. Available at: https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2024-02/news/congress-endorses-new-nuclear-weapon [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Bundy, M., 1984. Deception, Self-Deception and Nuclear Arms. New York Times, 11 March. Available at: https://www.nytimes.com/1984/03/11/books/deception-selfdeception-and-nuclear-arms.html [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Bush, G., 1988. Bush Campaign Speech at the Texas Republican State Convention. 9 June. C-Span, n.d. Available at: https://www.c-span.org/video/?2908-1/bush-campaign-speech [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Trends in Nuclear Disarmament, 1998. Trends in Nuclear Disarmament. The Drawbacks of the START I and START II Treaties. In: A. Dyakov (ed.) Nuclear Arms Reduction: The Process and Problems, Chapter 1. Available at: https://www.armscontrol.ru/reductions/ch1.htm [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Charap, S., 2019. The Demise of the INF: Implications for Russia-China Relations. Statement for the Record for the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation.

Chervov, N., 2001. Yaderny krugovorot. Chto bylo, chto budet [Nuclear Cycle: What Was and What Will Be]. Moscow: Olma-Press.

Cordesman, A., 2016. The PLA Rocket Force: Evolving Beyond the Second Artillery Corps (SAC) and Nuclear Dimension. Washington, DC: Center for Strategic and International Studies. Available at: https://www.csis.org/analysis/pla-rocket-force-evolving-beyond-second-artillery-corps-sac-and-nuclear-dimension [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Declaration, 1991a. Declaration of the United States of America Regarding its Policy Concerning Nuclear Sea-Launched Cruise Missiles. 31 July. Department of State, n.d. Available at: https://1997-2001.state.gov/global/arms/starthtm/start/declsts.html [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Declaration, 1991b. Declaration of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics Regarding its Policy Concerning Nuclear Sea-Launched Cruise Missiles. 31 July. Department of State, n.d. Available at: https://1997-2001.state.gov/global/arms/starthtm/start/declsts.html [Accessed 10 July 2024].

GAO, 1981. Most Critical Testing Still Lies Ahead for Missiles in Theater Nuclear Modernization. Washington, DC: United States General Accounting Office.

Gibbons-Neff, T., 2016. Chinese Ballistic Missiles Dubbed ‘Guam Killer’ Pose Increasing Threat to U.S. Island, Report Says. Washington Post, 11 May. Available at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/checkpoint/wp/2016/05/11/chinese-ballistic-missiles-dubbed-guam-killer-pose-increasing-threat-to-u-s-island-report-says/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Golts, A., 2021. Dogovor RSMD – istorichesky perelom [INF – A Landmark Treaty]. In: Perezhit’ kholodnuyu Voinu: Opyt Diplomaty [To Survive a Cold War: The Experience of Diplomacy]. Moscow: AST. Elect. ver. of the print ed.

Gorbachev, M., 1986. Politichesky doklad Tsentralnogo Komiteta KPSS XXVII S’ezdu Kommunisticheskoi Partii Sovetskogo Soyuza [Political Report of the CPSU Central Committee to the 27th Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union]. 25 February. In: Sobranie sochineny. T. 3. Oktjabr’ 1985 – Aprel’ 1986 [Collected Works. Vol. 3. October 1985 – April 1986]. Moscow: Ves Mir, 2008, pp. 286-392.

Gorbachev, M., 1987a. Rech na mitinge chekhoslovatsko-sovetskoi druzhby [Speech at the Czechoslovak-Soviet Friendship Meeting]. 10 April. In: Sobranie sochineny. T. 6. Fevral-Mai 1987 g [Collected Works. Vol. 6. February-May 1987]. Moscow: Ves Mir, 2008, pp. 226-284.

Gorbachev, M., 1987b. Iz besedy s Generalnym Sekretarem Portugalskoi kompartii A. Kun’yalom. 30 Dekabrya. [From a Conversation with the Secretary General of the Portuguese Communist Party, A. Cunhal. December 30]. In: Sobranie Sochinenij. T. 9. Nojabr’ 1987 – Mart 1988 [Collected Works. Vol. 9. November 1987 – March 1988]. Moscow: Ves Mir, 2009, pp. 186-196.

Gorbachev, M., 1988. Vystuplenie v Organizatsii Ob’edinyonnykh Natsy [Speech at the United Nations]. 7 December. Gorbachev-Fond, n.d.. Available at: https://www.gorby.ru/userfiles/file/vystuplenie_v_oon.pdf [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Gorbachev, M., 1995. Zhizn’ i reformy. Kniga 2 [Life and Reforms. Book 2]. Moscow: Novosti.

Gorbachev, M., 2021. Ponyat’ perestroiku, otstoyat’ novoe myshlenie [Understanding Perestroika, Defending the New Thinking]. Rossija v Global’noj Politike. 2 August. Available at: https://globalaffairs.ru/articles/ponyat-perestrojku/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Grinevsky, O., 2004. Perelom. Ot Brezhneva k Gorbachjovu [Turning Point. From Brezhnev to Gorbachev]. Moscow: Olma-Press.

Gunziger, M., 2021. Cost-Effective Long-Range Strike. Air and Space Forces, 30 June. Available at: https://www.airandspaceforces.com/article/cost-effective-long-range-strike/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Harper, J., 2021. Sibling Rivalry: Military Services in High-Stakes Tussle Over Long-Range Fires. National Defense Magazine, 6 January. Available at: https://www.nationaldefensemagazine.org/articles/2021/6/1/military-services-in-high-stakes-tussle-over-long-range-fires [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Harwood, W., 1993. Raise Heaven and Earth: The Story of Martin Marietta People and Their Pioneering Achievements. N.Y.: Simon & Schuster.

House Committee on Armed Services, 2017. Military Assessment of Nuclear Deterrence Requirements. House Committee on Armed Services, 3 March. Available at: https://www.congress.gov/115/chrg/CHRG-115hhrg24683/CHRG-115hhrg24683.pdf [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Hughes, K., 2009. The Army’s Precision “Sunday Punch”. The Pershing II and the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. Army History, 73, pp. 6-16.

Interfax, 2018. Putin nazval dogovor o RSMD odnostoronnim razoruzheniem SSSR [Putin Called the INF Treaty the USSR’s Unilateral Disarmament]. Interfax, 18 December. Available at: https://www.interfax.ru/russia/642898 [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Interview with N.N. Detinov, 2010. Interv’yu s N.N. Detinovym [Interview with N.N. Detinov] In: A. Chernyaev and M. Weber (eds.) Otvechaya na vyzov vremeni. Vneshnyaya politika perestroiki: dokumentalnye svidetelstva po zapisyam besed M.S. Gorbachova s zarubezhnymi deyatelyami i drugim materialam [Responding to the Challenge of Our Time. The Foreign Policy of Perestroika: Documentary Evidence from Records of M.S. Gorbachev’s Conversations with Foreign Leaders and Other Materials]. Moscow: Ves Mir, pp. 309-312.

Interview with V.L. Katayev, 2010. Interv’yu s V.L. Kataevym [Interview with V.L. Katayev]. In: A. Chernyaev and M. Weber (eds.) Otvechaya na vyzov vremeni. Vneshnyaya politika perestrojki: dokumentalnye svidetelstva po zapisyam besed M.S. Gorbachova s zarubezhnymi Dejateljami i Drugim Materialam [Responding to the Challenge of Our Time. The Foreign Policy of Perestroika: Documentary Evidence from Records of M.S. Gorbachev’s Conversations with Foreign Leaders and Other Materials]. Moscow: Ves’ Mir, pp. 306-309.

Kofman, M., 2018. Under the Missile’s Shadow: What Does the Passing of the INF Treaty Means? War on the Rocks, 28 October. Available at: https://warontherocks.com/2018/10/under-the-missiles-shadow-what-does-the-passing-of-the-inf-treaty-mean/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Kokoshin, A., 2011. Ensuring Strategic Stability in the Past and Present: Theoretical and Applied Questions. Cambridge, MA: Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs.

Kommersant, 2018. “Tolko dve strany v mire svyazany dogovorom o RSMD, i odna narushaet yego” [“Only Two Countries in the World Are Bound by the INF Treaty, and One Violates It”]. Kommersant, 22 October. Available at: https://www.kommersant.ru/amp/3778456 [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Kommersant, 2024. Putin: RF budet svobodna ot moratoriya po RSMD, yesli SShA razmestyat rakety v FRG [Putin: Russia Will Be Free from the INF Moratorium if the U.S. Deploys Missiles in Germany]. Kommersant, 28 July. Available at: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6862882 [Accessed 5 August 2024].

Kornienko, G., 2001. Pravda i domysly o raketakh SS-20 i SS-23 [The Truth and Speculations about the SS-20 and SS-23 Missiles]. In: Kholodnaya voina. Svidetelstvo yeyo uchastnika [The Cold War: Testimony of a Participant]. Moscow: Olma-Press.

Kreisher, O., 2013. China’s Carrier Killer: Threat and Theatrics. Air & Space Forces, 1 December. Available at: https://www.airandspaceforces.com/article/1213china/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Krepinevich, A., 2015. How to Deter China: The Case for Archipelagic Defense. Foreign Affairs, 94(2), pp. 78-86.

Kvitsinsky, Ju., 1999. Zheneva. Lesnaya Progulka. Krakh Peregovorov [Geneva. A Walk in the Woods. The Collapse of the Negotiations]. In: Vremya i Sluchai. Zapiski Professionala [Time and Chance. Memoirs of a Professional]. Moscow: Olma-Press.

Larsen, J., 1991. The Politics of NATO Short-Range Nuclear Modernization 1983‒1990: The Follow-on-to-Lance Missile Decisions. Dissertation Presented in Candidacy for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University.

Malik, J., 1989. China and the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Talks. Arms Control, 10(3), pp. 235-274.

McCartney, R., 1989. Moscow Warns NATO on Missile. Washington Post, 13 May. Available at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1989/05/14/moscow-warns-nato-on-missile/6f545b99-0272-4a8f-81b5-0a29691ead67/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Memorandum, 1978a. Memorandum from the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Brzezinski) to President Carter. 9 May. In: Foreign Relations of the United States. Vol. 4, National Security Policy, 1977-1980. Washington: Department of State, 2024, pp. 270-287.

Memorandum, 1978b. Memorandum from Secretary of Defense Brown to President Carter. 11 September. In: Foreign Relations of the United States. Vol. 4, National Security Policy, 1977-1980. Washington: Department of State, 2024, pp. 374-378.

Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 2024. Foreign Ministry Statement on the Russian Armed Forces’ Exercises Held to Practice for the Use of Non-Strategic Nuclear. Weapons. Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation, 6 May. Available at: https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1948486/?lang=en [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Missile Threat, 2024a. DF-21 (CSS-5). Missile Threat, 23 April. Available at: https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile/df-21/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Missile Threat, 2024b. DF-26. Missile Threat, 23 April. Available at: https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile/dong-feng-26-df-26/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

NATO, 1989. The Alliance’s Comprehensive Concept of Arms Control and Disarmament. Adopted by the Heads of State and Government at the Meeting of the North Atlantic Council in Brussels. 29-30 May. NATO, n.d. Available at: https://www.nato.int/docu/basictxt/bt-a16.htm [Accessed 10 July 2024].

O’Hanlon, M., 2018. Exiting Reagan’s Historic INF Treaty Is a Bad Idea. Here’s How Trump Should Try to Fix It. Brookings Institution, 25 October. Available at: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/exiting-reagans-historic-inf-treaty-is-a-bad-idea-heres-how-trump-should-try-to-fix-it/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Ong, P., 2022. DARPA Updates on OpFires Hypersonic Missile Test. Naval News, 10 August. Available at: https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2022/08/darpa-updates-on-opfires-hypersonic-missile-test/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Pravda, 1981. Protiv gonki vooruzheniy i ugrozy voiny [Against the Arms Race and the Threat of War]. Pravda, 15 October, p. 4.

Pravda, 1982. Otvety Ministra Oborony SSSR Marshala Sovetskogo Soyuza D.F. Ustinova na voprosy korrespondenta TASS [Answers of the Minister of Defense of the USSR Marshal of the Soviet Union D.F. Ustinov to the Questions of the TASS Correspondent]. Pravda. 12 December, p. 4.

Pravda, 1989. Press-konferentsiya v Bonne [Press Conference in Bonn]. Pravda. 14 April, p. 1, 4.

Reagan R. and Gorbachev, M., 1987. Remarks on Signing the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. December 7. The American Presidency Project. Available at: https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/node/252155 [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Ronald Reagan Presidential Library, 1981. Map “NATO Long-Range Missiles Versus All Warsaw Pact Long-Range Systems”. Simi Valley, CA: Exec. Secretariat, NSC (NSC Mtg. Files), NSC 00008. 30 April, 81(3/3), p. 40.

Saveliev, A., 2018. Perezhivyot li dogovor o RSMD tekushchy krizis? [Will the INF Treaty Survive the Current Crisis?]. Rossiya v globalnoi politike, 26 June. Available at: https://globalaffairs.ru/articles/perezhivet-li-dogovor-o-rsmd-tekushhij-krizis/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Sayers, E., 2018. The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty and the Future of the Indo-Pacific Military Balance. War on the Rocks, 13 February. Available at: https://warontherocks.com/2018/02/asia-inf/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Schemann, S., 1989. Moscow Cautions NATO on Replacing Missiles in Europe. New York Times, 14 May. Available at: https://www.nytimes.com/1989/05/14/world/moscow-cautions-nato-on-replacing-missiles-in-europe.html [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Schulenburg, R., 2024. US Ground-Based Conventionally Armed Missile Programmes Stretch Their Wings. International Institute of Strategic Studies, 5 April. Available at: https://www.iiss.org/online-analysis/military-balance/2024/04/us-ground-based-conventionally-armed-missile-programmes-stretch-their-wings/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Senate Committee on Armed Services, 2017. Hearing to Receive Testimony on United States Pacific Command and United States Forces Korea. Senate Committee on Armed Services. 27 April. Available at: https://www.armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/17-36_04-27-17.pdf [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Senate Committee on Armed Services, 2018. Advance Policy Questions for Admiral Philip Davidson, USN Expected Nominee for Commander, U.S. Pacific Command. Senate Committee on Armed Services. 17 April. Available at: https://www.armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/Davidson_APQs_04-17-18.pdf [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Sherr, A., 1988. Nuclear Arms Control in Europe. In: The Other Side of Arms Control: Soviet Objectives in the Gorbachev Era. Boston, MA: Unwin Human.

SIPRI, 1991. SIPRI Yearbook 1991: World Armaments and Disarmament. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Smith, J., 1989. Alliance Caught in Superpower Squeeze. Washington Post, 14 May. Available at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1989/05/14/alliance-caught-in-superpower-squeeze/f27e3f0f-231c-4ed2-a9e1-f58dbd8e2ced/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Soviet Leadership Views of the Pershing Threat, 1983. Directorate of Central Intelligence Report “Soviet Leadership Views of the Pershing Threat”. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency.

Soviet Short-Range Ballistic Missiles and the Impact of a Ban on Long-Range INF Missiles, 1987. Interagency Intelligence Assessment “Soviet Short-Range Ballistic Missiles and the Impact of a Ban on Long-Range INF Missiles”. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency.

Starodubov, V., 2001. Superderzhavy XX veka. Strategicheskoe protivoborstvo [Superpowers of the 20th Century: Strategic Rivalry]. Moscow: Olma-Press.

Statement by Soviet Minister of Defense, 1983. Statement by Soviet Minister of Defense, Dmitry Ustinov at the Extraordinary Session of the Committee of Defense Ministers of Warsaw Pact Member States. Berlin, German Democratic Republic. 20 October. Highly Confidential. National Security Archive, 5 November 2018. Available at: https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/document/17318-document-20-statement-soviet-minister [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Tangredi, S., 2019. Anti-Access Strategies in the Pacific: The United States and China. Parameters, 49(1), pp. 5-20.

The Soviet ‘War Scare’, 1990. President’s Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board Report “The Soviet ‘War Scare’”. 15 February. National Security Archive, 15 October 2015. Available at: https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/document/21038-4-pfiab-report-2012-0238-mr [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Trevithick, J., 2019. Everything You Need to Know about the USAF’s New Nuclear Cruise Missile Program. The War Zone, 29 September. Available at: https://www.twz.com/13790/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-usafs-new-nuclear-cruise-missile-program [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Trump, D., 2018. Remarks in an Exchange with Reporters in Elko, Nevada. 20 October. The American Presidency Project, n.d. Available at: https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/remarks-exchange-with-reporters-elko-nevada [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Vedomosti, 2024. MID: RF mozhet razvernut’ sistemy v yadernom osnashhenii v otvet na rakety SShA v FRG [Ministry of Foreign Affairs: Russia May Deploy Nuclear Systems in Response to U.S. Missiles in Germany]. Vedomosti, 18 July. Available at: https://www.vedomosti.ru/politics/news/2024/07/18/1050781-mid-rf [Accessed 5 August 2024].

Votintsev, Ju., 1993. Neizvestnye voiska ischeznuvshei sverkhderzhavy [Unknown Troops of the Disappeared Superpower]. Voenno-istorichesky zhurnal, 9, pp. 26-38.

Warsaw Pact Theater Forces, 1985. Interagency Intelligence Memorandum “Warsaw Pact Theater Forces, 1985”. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, 1985.

Washington Post, 1989. Kohl’s Nuclear Policy Shift Linked to Reelection Fears. Washington Post, 14 February. Available at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1989/02/15/kohls-nuclear-policy-shift-linked-to-reelection-fears/b199e061-da42-4541-a7a8-833ef69a9811/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Where the Threat to Peace Comes From, 1984. Otkuda iskhodit ugroza miru [Where the Threat to Peace Comes From]. Moscow: Voennoe Izdatelstvo.

White House, 2019. Statement from the President Regarding the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty. White House, 1 February. Available at: https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefings-statements/statement-president-regarding-intermediate-range-nuclear-forces-inf-treaty/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

White House, 2022. National Security Strategy of the United States. White House, October. Available at: https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Biden-Harris-Administrations-National-Security-Strategy-10.2022.pdf [Accessed 10 July 2024].

White House, 2024. Joint Statement from United States and Germany on Long-Range Fires Deployment in Germany. White House, 10 July. Available at: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/07/10/joint-statement-from-united-states-and-germany-on-long-range-fires-deployment-in-germany/ [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Wilson Center, 1989. Soviet Record of Conversation between M.S. Gorbachev and US Secretary of State J. Baker. May 11, 1989. Wilson Center, n.d. Available at: https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/soviet-record-conversation-between-ms-gorbachev-and-us-secretary-state-j-baker-0 [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Yegorov, B., 2017. Gudym: The Soviet Town That Threatened America’s West Coast. Russia Beyond, 28 September. Available at: https://www.rbth.com/history/326274-soviet-town-threatened-usa [Accessed 10 July 2024].

Yevtodieva, M., 2022. Razvitie Kitaiskoi Sistemy A2/AD v Kontekste Otnoshenii SShA i KNR [Development of the Chinese A2/AD Systemin the Context of US-China Relations]. Obshhestvennye Nauki i Sovremennost’, 4, pp. 77-92.

Read Entire Article