Harris or Trump?: Jewish groups push and pull as US elections approach

By The Jerusalem Post (World News) | Created at 2024-11-01 19:25:05 | Updated at 2024-11-01 21:24:42 2 hours ago
Truth

The Republican Jewish Coalition argued this election cycle it had the best Jewish voter file in politics after heavy investment in its data and modeling systems. 

By HANNAH SARISOHN NOVEMBER 1, 2024 21:00
 BRIAN SNYDER/REUTERS) REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL nominee and former US president Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris take part in a presidential debate hosted by ABC in Philadelphia, last month. One half of the country will be happy and gloating, and the other half disappointed, sa (photo credit: BRIAN SNYDER/REUTERS)

This election cycle Jewish political groups outspent and out-worked their previous efforts in an attempt to shore up the Jewish vote in the seven most critical battleground states. 

The Republican Jewish Coalition argued this election cycle it had the best Jewish voter file in politics after heavy investment in its data and modeling systems allowing for a micro-targeted outreach. 

"Back in the day, if you knocked 100 doors, you were lucky if maybe 10 or 20 of them were actually Jewish," RJC spokesperson Sam Markstein told The Post. "Nowadays, with our data system, you're able to go to those same 100 doors, and 80 or 90 are actually Jewish."

With days until Election Day, RJC also touted the "more than 100 former Democrats" who joined its Victory Team volunteer ranks to phone bank and canvas for former President Trump and down-ballot candidates across the battleground states with "thousands" of RJC Victory Team volunteers across the country. 

Now, Markstein said RJC is trying to make sure that its supporters and voters they've identified and persuaded over the past year vote. 

A frame from a new Kamala Harris ad filmed at Hymie's, the same Philadelphia Jewish deli that served as the setting for a Donald Trump ad. (credit: screenshot)

"That's how we're going to be measuring success," he said. 

In September, RJC predicted 30% of the national Jewish vote going to former President Donald Trump with almost 50% of the Jewish vote going to Trump in the battleground states. 

A survey released this week from the Jewish People Policy Institute found 63% of Jews expressing intent to vote for Harris. While that 63% represents the lowest Democratic support in four decades, Harris still retains the majority of Jewish support with only 24% of American Jews planning to vote for Trump. 

Conflicting polls over the summer and in the fall showed Harris winning the Jewish vote in the battleground states by varying margins.  

Awaiting voter demographic

However it could take weeks or months before voter demographic data is publicly available. 


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Since Harris became the nominee, RJC's allocated its record-breaking $15 million advertising budget to lure life-long Democrats away from their party by linking Harris to the furthest left flanks of the Democratic Party and holding her responsible for Hamas's attack on Israel due to her backing of the Iran nuclear deal. 

Another RJC Victory Fund ad portrayed Trump as the best president for Israel and Jewish Americans. 

The Jewish Democratic Coalition of America also broke its own records this year with 2.3 million direct voter contacts, whether by text, call or in-person door-to-door canvassing.

JDCA CEO Halie Soifer's goal was making 2 million voter contacts. In the 2022 midterms, JDCA made 1.6 million direct voter contacts. 

"Our staff is larger than ever before. Our organization is larger, so that allowed us to reach a higher goal," she said. 

JDCA has also had 1,500 volunteers and 50,000 participants in virtual and in-person events, a demonstration Soifer said of the excitement and momentum since Harris became the candidate. 

 "We didn't see this level of excitement and the surge of interest and participation and volunteers earlier this year," she said. "We definitely saw a change in late July and August, and certainly after the convention"

Soifer also noted that more people have shown up to canvas than she's expected. 

"Our staff is larger than ever before. Our organization is larger, so that allowed us to reach a higher goal," she said. 

JDCA's ads have focused on proving Harris's track record fighting antisemitism and commitment to Israel and that Harris and Walz are "champions of Jewish American values."

JDCA also released an ad linking Trump to dictators and fascists like Hitler, Putin and Kim Jon Un. 

Perhaps JDCA's most tongue-and-cheek ad showed a woman seeking medical care to "have her head examined" because she's voting Democrat, a play against Trump's frequent quip that any Jew who votes for Harris should have their head examined. 

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