Jewish support for Democrats lowest since Reagan era: poll

By New York Post (Politics) | Created at 2024-10-19 13:17:29 | Updated at 2024-10-19 15:39:33 2 hours ago
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Ilene Miller holding a postcard featuring Vice President Kamala Harris and Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff, prepared for distribution to Jewish voters in Wynnewood, Pennsylvania Jews are among the most reliable Democratic constituencies in America. The Washington Post via Getty Images

Jewish support for the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee is on track to be the lowest since the Ronald Reagan era, according to a new poll from the Manhattan Institute.

If the election were held today, Harris would win the support of just 67% of Jewish voters, while former President Trump would take 31% of Jews, the survey found. More than four out of five described themselves as “enthusiastic” about their choice.

Ronald Reagan standing at a podium, speaking to an audience during his 1976 presidential campaign in IndianaJewish support for Democrats is the lowest its been since the Reagan era. Corbis via Getty Images

Though Jewish voters on the whole remain overwhelmingly supportive of Democrats, that support has dipped noticeably from highs achieved during administrations of Bill Clinton and George H.W. Bush.

In 1992, 80% of Jewish voters supported Bill Clinton over George Bush Sr., though things have been trending slowly downward since. In 2020, Biden won the support of 68% of Jewish voters.

The poll follows others which show Jewish support for Democrats is cracking — a trend which has accelerated since Oct. 7 terrorist attacks on Israel by Hamas.

While Jews tended to favor Democrats on most issues, there was strong partisan agreement on Israel, with 86% saying they supported the Jewish state — and 62% of Jews saying they were concerned about antisemitism in the Democratic party.

“Security, Israel, and antisemitism” are Harris’s weakest issue relative to former President Donald Trump among Jewish voters, according to the poll.

Many are likely uncomfortable with the Democratic Party’s tolerance of voices that criticize Israel in extreme terms, such as labeling the country ‘genocidal,'” said Jesse Arm, Chief of Staff at the Manhattan Institute in an analysis of the findings.

“This is evidenced by the fact that Jews are almost universally supportive of Israel — a mere 5% of Jewish voters say they are not supporters of the Jewish state,” Arm added.

Vice President Kamala Harris delivering a speech at the Congressional Hispanic Caucus Institute's 47th Annual Leadership Conference in Washington, DCIf the election were held today, Kamala Harris would win the support of just 67% of Jewish voters. Getty Images

Harris’ remaining strength among Jews came from Reform and unaffiliated or nondenominational Jews who are historically more aligned to progressive causes than other Jews.

A third of Jews cited abortion as their biggest 2024 campaign issue in contrast to Americans at large who routinely cite the economy.

The poll was conducted between Oct. 5-9 and surveyed 658 Jewish voters across the United States.

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