New polls from The New York Times and Siena College showed Donald J. Trump ahead in Arizona and leading in tight races in Georgia and North Carolina.

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Posted on 09/23/2024 4:33:45 AM PDT by 11th_VA

Incumbent Senator Sherrod Brown, an Ohio Democrat, is narrowly trailing his Republican challenger Bernie Moreno, according to new polling released on Sunday.

Former President Donald Trump, the GOP's presidential nominee, won Ohio in 2016 and 2020. The state also has a Republican governor and Trump's running mate, Senator JD Vance, hails from Ohio as well. However, the state also went for former Democratic President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012, and Brown has held his Senate seat since 2007.

Brown not only aims to hold the seat for Democrats, but also to help his party hold onto their very narrow Senate majority, which is currently 51 to 49. Democrats are already expected to lose West Virginia, with Senator Joe Manchin retiring and popular Republican Governor Jim Justice angling to replace him. As a result, Democrats need to hold onto every other seat they are defending or somehow manage to pick up a seat in a conservative-leaning state.

While polls have consistently shown Brown leading Moreno, a businessman, in recent months, new polling from ActiVote published on Sunday showed the Democrat down by 2.2 percentage points. The survey, which was conducted from August 16 to September 22, has the Republican with 51.1 percent support compared to the Democratic incumbent's 48.9 percent.

The survey results show Moreno is leading with rural and suburban voters, as well as among men and white voters. Brown leads among urban voters, as well as among women and low-income voters. The poll included 400 likely Ohio voters and had a margin of error of 4.9 percent, meaning Moreno's narrow lead is well within the survey's margin of error.…

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1 posted on 09/23/2024 4:33:45 AM PDT by 11th_VA

To: 11th_VA

2 posted on 09/23/2024 4:35:12 AM PDT by 11th_VA (From the Liver to the Knee)

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