...Our polling was too far left AGAIN....

By Free Republic | Created at 2024-10-31 14:21:19 | Updated at 2024-11-06 13:39:41 6 days ago
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...Our polling was too far left AGAIN....
Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports ^ | October 31, 2024 | Mark Mitchell

Posted on 10/31/2024 6:32:23 AM PDT by Red Badger

I(f) this is true, and I believe it is, that means our polling was too far left AGAIN.

In that scenario, Trump probably sweeps the battlegrounds.

Quote Elon Musk

@elonmusk · 15h The 2024 Pennsylvania Republican vs Democrat vote is now over 500k better than the same day in 2020, when Biden’s victory margin was only 80k!

Moreover, yesterday there were more Republican early votes than Democrat.

The 2024 Pennsylvania Republican vs Democrat vote is now over 500k better than the same day in 2020, when Biden’s victory margin was only 80k!

Moreover, yesterday there were more Republican early votes than Democrat.

Pennsylvania will be a decisive Republican victory.



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1 posted on 10/31/2024 6:32:23 AM PDT by Red Badger


To: Red Badger

Rasmussen is terrible. They couldn’t count ducks on a pond accurately.


2 posted on 10/31/2024 6:34:38 AM PDT by CodeToad (Rule #1: The elites want you dead.)


To: Red Badger

I’ve not seen any pollsters coming out with explanations about what they did wrong last time, and how they’ve corrected it....so it seems the most resaonable conclusion is that Trump will outperform his polls, yet again.



To: Red Badger

The “media mafia” was having the Mother of All Wet Dreams over Walz and Harriz.


4 posted on 10/31/2024 6:35:15 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The Walz/Harriz RAT platform: Hitler, Hitler, Hitler, Hitler, Garbage, Garbage, Garbage, Garbage.)


To: CodeToad

You pays your dollar, you gets your results...................


5 posted on 10/31/2024 6:35:19 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)


To: Red Badger

Don’t get complacent. GO OUT AND VOTE!

I worry that because we’re ahead of 2020 in early voting, we’ll get beat on election day.

Insure against election day shenanigans and BANK YOUR VOTE NOW.


6 posted on 10/31/2024 6:35:36 AM PDT by Yo-Yo (Is the /Sarc tag really necessary? Pray for President Biden: Psalm 109:8)


To: ConservativeDude

“To a liberal, history started at breakfast this morning,” - Ann Coulter


7 posted on 10/31/2024 6:36:17 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)


To: Red Badger

I worry the mistake the repubs might make is that they get giddy over early voting returns and think the same day voter totals won’t be affected from previous elections.


8 posted on 10/31/2024 6:36:30 AM PDT by TiGuy22


To: Yo-Yo

I and Mrs. Badger Voted Sunday..........


9 posted on 10/31/2024 6:36:53 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)


To: Red Badger

The polls pretty much always mysteriously shift right just before the election. IMO, that is because the polls can’t be verified against reality until just before the election. i.e. if they say Trump will win by two, and he wins by 5, well, they were accurate. But if they say Kamala wins by 10, but Trump wins by 5, they lose all credibility.

As they did with me several election cycles ago.


10 posted on 10/31/2024 6:38:11 AM PDT by cuban leaf (2024 is going to be one for the history books, like 1939. And 2025 will be more so, like 1940-1945.)


To: Red Badger

I agree that “hard” data has to be more important in polling, such as ballots requested and ballots returned by party registration and other demographics.

Early in person voting by registration should be KEY to predicting outcomes, need that data and you would have very accurate polling.

BUT, that would hurt the pollsters business because they rely on a proprietary secret sauce, and a little snake oil to sell their polls to the media.

11 posted on 10/31/2024 6:38:42 AM PDT by 1Old Pro


To: cuban leaf

Normies don’t answer polls.


12 posted on 10/31/2024 6:39:10 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)


To: dfwgator

Normies don’t answer polls.

If you're not in my contact list you go to vm.

13 posted on 10/31/2024 6:40:21 AM PDT by 1Old Pro


To: Red Badger

Isn’t an early vote simply one that won’t be included in “non-early” voting. i.e. if all that’s happening is that Republicans are voting earlier, so what?

Also, my hope is that a LOT of “thinking” democrats are voting for Trump this time around. We’ve seen a lot of democrats come out publicly against Harris.


14 posted on 10/31/2024 6:42:22 AM PDT by cuban leaf (2024 is going to be one for the history books, like 1939. And 2025 will be more so, like 1940-1945.)


To: 1Old Pro

“If you’re not in my contact list you go to vm.”

And if you don’t leave a voicemail, I’m not calling back.


15 posted on 10/31/2024 6:42:39 AM PDT by castlebrew (Gun Control means hitting here you're aiming!))


To: dfwgator

I either don’t answer unknown calls, or if it’s a poll, lie out my azz.



To: castlebrew

And even if they do leave a voicemail, unless it’s a matter of life and death, I’m not calling back.


17 posted on 10/31/2024 6:43:42 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)


To: Red Badger

I guess this author missed the videos on X yesterday where they were shepherding bus loads of illegals past the lines of waiting citizens to vote in person.

This time they aren’t relying on the mail in votes and truckloads of midnight ballots showing up. They are going to use the 20 million invaders to show up and vote in person.


18 posted on 10/31/2024 6:44:18 AM PDT by nitzy (We all thought that WW3 would be fought with WMDs. Instead it is being fought with NGOs.)


To: Red Badger

For the first time in my life, I became an “early voter” today. We arrived 15 minutes after the polling opened and there was a significant line. The only other time I’ve ever waited in line to vote was when there was a problem at the polling place and they closed it down for a while, and I lived in Seattle. That was 30 years ago.

BTW, I’m in rural, south central Kentucky.


19 posted on 10/31/2024 6:44:37 AM PDT by cuban leaf (2024 is going to be one for the history books, like 1939. And 2025 will be more so, like 1940-1945.)


To: Red Badger

We won’t know for sure until Tuesday night. But this is interesting, especially since Rasmussen already tends to be one of the more conservative leaning polling operations.



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