PA Mail In Ballot Numbers--What they don't want you to know

By Free Republic | Created at 2024-11-04 17:19:01 | Updated at 2024-11-05 23:09:26 1 day ago

PA Mail In Ballot Numbers--What they don't want you to know
University of Florida Election Lab ^ | November 4, 2024 | University of Fl Election Lab

Posted on 11/04/2024 8:38:43 AM PST by cgbg

Additional link for comparison:

https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/2024-general-election-early-vote-pennsylvania/

TOPICS: FReeper Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: elections; paping; pennsylvania; voting

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Everybody can debate whether or not this is relevant--but Freepers have a right to see this data.

2020: D 1.7M R .6M 2024: D 1.0M R .6M

1 posted on 11/04/2024 8:38:43 AM PST by cgbg

To: cgbg

I have not seen this discussed anywhere.

2 posted on 11/04/2024 8:39:45 AM PST by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)

To: cgbg

It is an instructive data point, and whether or not it is relevant will be revealed in about 36 hours. Thanks for staying on top of this.

3 posted on 11/04/2024 8:39:55 AM PST by nwrep

To: cgbg

To: thirdgradeteacher

We won’t know for 36 hours definitively, but many people think it bodes well for Trump.

5 posted on 11/04/2024 8:43:34 AM PST by nwrep

To: thirdgradeteacher

Is this good or bad?

My take, The Dems are starting out with less of a LEAD.

6 posted on 11/04/2024 8:45:00 AM PST by 1Old Pro

To: thirdgradeteacher

It is very very good.

:-)

7 posted on 11/04/2024 8:47:02 AM PST by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)

To: 1Old Pro

“My take, The Dems are starting out with less of a LEAD.”

Yes, .7 million less of a lead. I also have to wonder how many of those Democrats are actually voting for Trump.

8 posted on 11/04/2024 8:48:14 AM PST by Parley Baer

To: Parley Baer

For pretty much all prez elections, pre Trump and post Trump, about 7% of GOP registered voters vote Dem, and 7% of Dem registered voters vote GOP.

It has nothing to do with never Trumpers and it has nothing to do with anger about dumping Biden. It’s the number that usually exists for cross party voting.

9 posted on 11/04/2024 8:51:17 AM PST by Owen

To: cgbg

10 posted on 11/04/2024 8:51:24 AM PST by Labyrinthos

To: 1Old Pro

Known as their “firewall” and yes, it’s 700K less than then 2020. In a nutshell if the relative %s of ED voting remain roughly similar, Trump wins easily.

11 posted on 11/04/2024 8:53:22 AM PST by traderrob6

To: Labyrinthos

12 posted on 11/04/2024 8:55:20 AM PST by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)

To: cgbg

ChatGPT used to be limited to Sept 2022 info and earlier, but a query about this year’s early votes now says

as of early November, nationwide early votes exceed 65 million.

I guess that at 40ish% of total votes to be cast this year.

13 posted on 11/04/2024 8:57:17 AM PST by Owen

To: Owen

Generally, but according to a NYT/Sienna poll, Trump maintains a 5% advantage in Dem crossovers in a composite of the 7 battelgound states.

14 posted on 11/04/2024 8:57:38 AM PST by traderrob6

To: Owen

15 posted on 11/04/2024 9:00:04 AM PST by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)

To: traderrob6

16 posted on 11/04/2024 9:00:23 AM PST by Owen

To: fatima; Fresh Wind; st.eqed; xsmommy; House Atreides; Nowhere Man; PaulZe; brityank; Physicist; ...

Pennsylvania Ping!

Please ping me with articles of interest.

FReepmail me to be added to the list.

17 posted on 11/04/2024 9:01:11 AM PST by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)

To: cgbg

That is nudging up towards 50% of the likely total.

18 posted on 11/04/2024 9:01:12 AM PST by Owen

To: cgbg

19 posted on 11/04/2024 9:01:31 AM PST by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)

To: thirdgradeteacher

Is this good or bad?

The way I read it is that Republican early voting is about the same as 2020 while democrats are down close to 40%.

20 posted on 11/04/2024 9:01:37 AM PST by apillar

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