Premier League Match Predictions

With the help of the Opta supercomputer, we provide our Premier League match predictions for every match in each gameweek.

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The Opta supercomputer will be with us every step of the way this season as the projection model works to provide you with data-backed predictions for all Premier League matches and season outcomes.

Our AI-powered supercomputer proved rather prescient in 2023-24 and is continuing to make predictions for every fixture this season.

Read on as Opta Analyst provides its Premier League match predictions for 2024-25, and be sure to check back here ahead of every matchday for the latest projections.

Matchday 29

The Opta supercomputer has delivered its latest selection of match predictions ahead of the next weekend of Premier League football in 2024-25, with the league table having now firmly taken shape as we enter the final straight of the season.

Liverpool have a huge 15-point lead over Arsenal at the top of the standings, while multiple teams are part of an enthralling race to secure a UEFA Champions League spot.

After a strong season of match predictions overall last year, supporters are looking at the 2024-25 picks even more forensically, with the system enjoying a good campaign this time around too.

Matchday 29 will see eight matches played across Saturday and Sunday, with only 16 teams in action due to the EFL Cup final at Wembley between Liverpool and Newcastle United.

Five matches on Saturday include an intriguing clash between Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion. The champions are just one point ahead of their opponents in the table and the Seagulls have won four straight top-flight games.

The game of the week takes place on Sunday, though, as Arsenal take on Chelsea in a huge London derby, with both teams starting the weekend inside the top four.

Fulham will meet Tottenham in another key capital clash, while MD 29 will conclude with Manchester United travelling to play under-pressure Leicester City, managed by Old Trafford great Ruud van Nistelrooy.

Ahead of what looks set to be an entertaining group of Premier League fixtures, let’s check out the Opta supercomputer’s match predictions.

Premier League Predictions Matchweek 29: The Quick Hits

• Arsenal predicted to end three-match winless run by beating rivals Chelsea at the Emirates Stadium.
• The Opta supercomputer is expecting Man Utd to pile more pressure on Van Nistelrooy and Leicester.
• Bournemouth and Man City backed to record home victories this week, with Pep Guardiola’s men being our predictive model’s most confident pick of MD 29 despite having a tough fixture against Brighton.

Everton (45.8%) have generated impressive momentum since David Moyes returned to the club, and they are now ahead of opponents West Ham (27.1%) in the Premier League table on goal difference.

Moyes will take on his former team having guided the Toffees to a run of eight consecutive top-flight matches without defeat.

But he has never beaten Graham Potter in seven top-flight attempts. Only against Guardiola has Moyes taken charge of more matches without ever winning in the competition (13)

Everton go into this one as favourites with the Opta prediction model, but with the draw given a 27.1% chance, this match is seen as the likeliest to finish all square across the eight games this weekend.

Nottingham Forest will be looking to further cement their top-four credentials when they travel to Portman Road to take on relegation-threated Ipswich Town.

Forest continue to defy the odds, emerging 1-0 victors over champions Man City last time out, a result that saw them record an 11th top-flight victory without conceding a goal, more than they had managed across their last two seasons combined.

And up next is an Ipswich team who are the only side in England’s top four tiers without a league win in 2025 (D2 L7). It’s their longest run without a league victory from the start of a calendar year in their history, with Kieran McKenna’s side now six points adrift of safety and desperately in need of just a second home win this season.

Forest are therefore given a 46.4% chance of earning all three points, but that still gives Ipswich a decent chance of getting something out of the game. Their win probability is a respectable at 27.5%, having lost just one of their last seven home league games against Forest (W4 D2).

Manchester City’s recent resurgence stumbled on the banks of the Trent, with defeat to Forest seeing them drop out of the top four last weekend.

Indeed, City have now failed to score in four Premier League matches in 2024-25; only in 2016-17 (five) have they done so more often under Guardiola, who will be looking for a response against a Brighton side who have big European aspirations of their own.

The Seagulls were buoyed by a 2-1 win over Fulham last time out that extended their winning run across all competitions to six matches.

Goals from João Pedro and Matt O’Riley sealed a 2-1 victory for Fabian Hürzeler’s team in the return fixture back in November, so Brighton are looking to complete their first ever league double over City, in what is the 15th different campaign in which they’ve met.

But it is City who are comprehensive favourites, having never lost in their 14 home league matches against Brighton (W12 D2), winning each of the last 10. Indeed, this is the most they have faced an opponent at home without ever losing in their league history.

Guardiola’s side are well backed in this one and seen as the likeliest winners overall this weekend. They triumphed in 55% of simulations from our predictive model compared to Brighton’s 23.4%

Wolves moved six points clear of the relegation zone by drawing 1-1 with Everton last week, and they have an opportunity to bolster that cushion further when they visit bottom club Southampton.

Southampton have lost their last eight home games by an aggregate score of 29-5. In English top-flight history, only three sides have ever lost nine in a row at home in a single season: Birmingham City in 1985-86 (10), Wolves in 2011-12 (nine) and Watford in 2021-22 (11).

Wolves, meanwhile, have won their last six EPL games against Southampton – their longest winning run against any opponent in the competition. They are therefore the supercomputer’s favourites with a 44.5% win probability, compared to Saints’ 29.0%.

Saturday’s action concludes at the Vitality Stadium, as Bournemouth, without a win in three league games, take on Brentford, who have emerged victorious in each of their last four top-flight away matches.

Andoni Iraola’s side let slip a two-goal lead to draw 2-2 in their last game against Tottenham. The Cherries will be looking to bounce back on the south coast, though they have lost their last two at home – only twice before have they lost three in a row in the top-flight, doing so in April 2016 and December 2019.

And Bournemouth’s task is made that bit more difficult given their recent run of results against the Bees. Indeed, Brentford are unbeaten in all five of their Premier League meetings with the Cherries (W3 D2).

But the Opta supercomputer predicts Bournemouth’s woes in this fixture will end this time round, with the Cherries given a 52.6% win probability. Brentford, meanwhile, came out on top in 24.9% of those data-led simulations.

Into Sunday’s fixtures, and with Liverpool not playing due to the EFL Cup final, Arsenal are looking to boost their – admittedly very slim – title chances against a Chelsea team who are back on the up.

The Gunners, who are unbeaten in six league games against Chelsea, lost their last home game 1-0 to West Ham, their first league defeat at the Emirates this season and have gone three matches without a win in the Premier League.

However, they bounce back with a victory against Chelsea in 52.2% of the Opta supercomputer’s pre-match simulations.

Chelsea have won two in a row without conceding, but both of those games were at Stamford Bridge and the teams they beat are in the bottom three.

The Blues had only won two of their previous 10 before those clashes and they have not had a lot of luck against Arsenal in recent times either, losing their last two away games against them, including a 5-0 defeat last season.

Chelsea still have a good chance of coming away from the Emirates with something, though they are seen as slightly more likely to get a draw (24.2%) than all three points (23.6%) in this crunch clash.

Fulham need a positive result to kickstart their push for a European place as they host Tottenham.

Marco Silva’s men have lost two of their last three in the league and dropped to 10th in the table, but they remain just five points behind Man City in fifth, a position which is highly likely to ensure Champions League qualification.

Spurs, meanwhile, have won their last two away league games, but haven’t won three in a row on the road since November 2020.

Fulham go in as favourites as Silva prepares to take charge of his 200th match in the competition. They have a healthy win probability of 46.6%, but Spurs’ victory chance is not completely discounted at 29.4%.

The final game in the Premier League before the international break sees Ruud van Nistelrooy’s Leicester City (26.2%) host his former club Manchester United (49%).

The Red Devils are unbeaten in three top-flight games and are looking for what would be a fourth consecutive win over Leicester in all competitions this season, having also beaten the Foxes in both domestic cups. Curiously, Van Nistelrooy will have been in charge of one team or the other in all four of these meetings after Sunday, having beaten Leicester twice as Man Utd’s caretaker manager in October and November.

The Dutchman hasn’t been able to turn Leicester’s fortunes around, though. They’ve lost each of their last six top-flight home games by an aggregate score of 15-0 and this match could see them bring up an unwanted milestone. If Leicester concede two or more goals, they will become just the 12th side to let in 1,000 goals in the Premier League.

United are well backed by the supercomputer in this one, and across all eight games this week, they are seen as the likeliest to collect an away win.

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