Spencer Pratt’s voters could be deciding factor in LA mayor showdown according to latest poll 

By New York Post (U.S.) | Created at 2026-08-14 03:16:15 | Updated at 2026-08-14 04:45:54 1 hour ago

Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass has opened up a double-digit lead over City Councilwoman Nithya Raman in the city’s November runoff, according to a new poll — with a huge chunk of Spencer Pratt’s voters breaking toward the incumbent.

Approximately 85 percent of Spencer Pratt voters are backing Karen Bass over Democratic Socialist candidate Nithya Raman.

Bass leads Raman 50.2% to 38.4% among runoff voters surveyed July 30 through Aug. 5 by Median Strategies, giving the mayor an 11.8-point advantage.

Another 11.4% remain undecided.

Spencer Pratt meets with African American and Latino voters on Saturday, May 30, 2026, in Tim Gilliam Park in Los Angeles, California. Pratt is running for mayor of the city of Los Angeles. London Entertainment for CA Post
Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass speaks during a press conference regarding updates on a warehouse fire at Lineage Cold Storage on Sunday, June 21, 2026, in Boyle Heights, California. Jon Putman for CA Post
LA Mayoral candidate Nithya Raman speaks at a press conference Friday, July 24, 2026, in Los Angeles, California. for CA Post

The poll has Bass just over the 50% mark needed to win outright if the numbers hold on Election Day.

One of the biggest takeaways is where Pratt’s voters are landing after the reality-TV star was eliminated in the June primary.

A whopping 85.2% of the Pratt voters included in the poll now back Bass, compared with just 6.8% for Raman. Another 8% remain undecided.

With this latest polling, it appears that most Pratt voters are looking at Bass as the more moderate option.

Bass is strongest in South LA, where she leads Raman 55.7% to 33.9%.

She also holds a commanding advantage in the San Fernando Valley, leading 53.9% to 37.1%.

Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass delivers a speech at Stevenson Middle School in Los Angeles on Thursday, July 9, 2026. The town hall meeting was held to discuss the status of recovery efforts from the eight-day fire at Lineage’s cold-storage warehouse in the Boyle Heights neighborhood. Los Angeles Times via Getty Images

Raman has a narrow lead in Eastside and Northeast LA, 45.8% to 44.6% — an area that overlaps with her City Council district.

The candidates are deadlocked in Harbor/South Bay at 38.8% apiece, while that region has the race’s highest share of undecided voters at 22.4%.

Raman was recently stripped of her position on the City Council’s Housing and Homelessness Committee on Tuesday after a 13-1 vote, with one Democrats accusing her of being ineffective.


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Councilwoman and LA mayoral candidate Nithya Raman holds a press conference in Studio City on Friday, July 24, 2026, in Los Angeles, California. The press conference was held after Los Angeles’ homeless count showed more people are living on the street in the city. MediaNews Group via Getty Images

“The months that I served on that committee under your leadership were the most unproductive time I’ve had on council. You ran it like a lecture hall at a university, not a place of government decision making,” Councilmember Imedla Padilla said.

“You were removed because of your inability to lead and get things done. The homeless crisis does not need a chair that is all talk and no action,” she continued.

The poll also suggests November’s turnout could look dramatically different from the June primary.

The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

560 voters were surveyed and 64 of them still remain undecided ahead of the November mayoral election.

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