By Free Republic | Created at 2024-10-31 03:21:59 | Updated at 2024-10-31 21:42:59
19 hours ago
Texas Republicans lead early turnout by more than a million, early vote data suggests
https://www.kxan.com ^ | Oct 30, 2024 | Ryan Chandler
Posted on 10/30/2024 7:29:44 PM PDT by 11th_VA
AUSTIN (Nexstar) — Nearly seven million Texans have already voted — nearly a third of all registered voters in the state — and their voting histories suggest Republicans are turning out much more than Democrats.
As of Monday, 1,894,070 early voters had previously voted in Republican primaries and have no history of voting in Democratic primaries, according to Ryan Data and Research. A total of 1,242,800 early voters had only voted in previous Democratic primaries. That history suggests those voters came into the voting booth with a strong partisan lean, though it cannot definitively predict which candidates they prefer.
Based on the data, analysts believe that Republicans have an early vote lead of about 1.1 million votes.
“If that number sounds large… it is large. That is much more than we’ve seen in previous elections,” Dr. Ross Hunt with the Republican consulting firm Murphy Nasica said. “A lot of this has to do with building up numbers over time… every day that passes, that vote remains net Republican. It was at least 7% net Republican yesterday. The Republicans just continue to add to their lead.”
The biggest share of voters, however, are those who have either voted in both parties’ primaries or have no primary voting history at all — those voters total to more than 2.3 million.
Republicans make up about 45% of the early vote while Democrats make up about 29% and Independents 26%, Hunt said. He expects the margins to tighten as we get closer to polls closing, but the trends so far are good sign for Republicans.
“No one has a crystal ball,” he said. “It is always possible that we will see a wave of Democratic turnout come in and correct this trend. But we don’t really have a reason to believe that right now.”
(Excerpt) Read more at kxan.com ...
TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Texas
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Excellent …
1 posted on 10/30/2024 7:29:44 PM PDT by 11th_VA
To: 11th_VA
Hopefully this means Cruz will defeat Allred.
2 posted on 10/30/2024 7:32:39 PM PDT by CatOwner (Don't expect anyone, even conservatives, to have your back when the SHTF in 2021 and beyond.)
To: CatOwner
It’s probably going to be trump +8 Cruz +4. Cruz needs to play nice so he can get Sotomayors spot.
3 posted on 10/30/2024 7:35:00 PM PDT by struggle
To: CatOwner
Yup—Texas is going to be a blowout for the record books—could be Trump +20.
I know it sounds crazy—but when Republicans lead by this much in early voting that is what you get.
According to Pew half of Trump supporters do not plan to vote until election day compared to less than thirty percent of Harris supporters who say they will vote on election day:
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4273604/posts
4 posted on 10/30/2024 7:38:56 PM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
To: 11th_VA
I voted early for the first time in my life. The wife and I were really surprised by the number of “very” elderly who were there standing in line. Would have expected them to vote mail-in. They were there in person. Very cool.
5 posted on 10/30/2024 7:40:54 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The Walz/Harriz RAT platform: Hitler, Hitler, Hitler, Hitler, Garbage, Garbage, Garbage, Garbage.)
To: cgbg
Both of my daughters’ absentee votes were rejected by Nacogdoches County in Texas because “signatures were invalid” which is odd because both signed as instructed.
6 posted on 10/30/2024 7:44:02 PM PDT by KierkegaardMAN (I never engage in a battle of wits with an unarmed man.)
To: 11th_VA
I have been voting in Texas for two years now, so I have a question about this. In Texas you don’t register by party, during the primary you ask for a democrat or republican ballot. How do they know republicans are voting in greater numbers? Is it based on which ballot you requested in the primary?
7 posted on 10/30/2024 7:45:49 PM PDT by Yogafist
To: 11th_VA
Hopefully the number of Democrats not voting will rise this year compared previous years.
8 posted on 10/30/2024 7:47:41 PM PDT by Parley Baer
To: Yogafist
How do they know republicans are voting in greater numbers?
Good question - I just post the articles
9 posted on 10/30/2024 7:47:58 PM PDT by 11th_VA
To: 11th_VA
Cross referencing the voters name with previous primary elections.
10 posted on 10/30/2024 7:50:31 PM PDT by 38special (The government is ruining our country!)
To: Parley Baer
Black turnout is definitely lagging - across many states
11 posted on 10/30/2024 8:08:12 PM PDT by 11th_VA
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