Trump’s 2024 ‘mandate’ isn’t as robust as Biden’s was in 2020

By Free Republic | Created at 2024-11-18 21:01:03 | Updated at 2024-11-24 02:24:47 5 days ago

Trump’s 2024 ‘mandate’ isn’t as robust as Biden’s was in 2020
Washington Post via MSN ^ | 11/18/24 | Phillip Bump

Posted on 11/18/2024 12:52:45 PM PST by DallasBiff

A lot of early analysis of the 2024 presidential election has suffered from three overlapping problems.

First, that vote margins can be influenced by changes in turnout as well as changes in vote preference. If voters stay home, the candidate they would have supported receives fewer votes. And it looks like a lot of 2020 voters stayed home in 2024.

But — second — not as many as one might have thought in the first few days after the election. Many immediate analyses of what happened exaggerated the decrease in Democratic votes or suggested that Donald Trump won an outright majority of votes cast, both errors that were a function of failing to consider (particularly) California’s sizable, slow-to-count vote total.

The third problem is that the shift to Trump in the voting — real and widespread — is being conflated with broad support for Trump, which is far less dramatic. It’s the difference between noting that exit polls show Trump fared much better with voters under 30 than he did in 2020, and acknowledging that he lost that age group to Vice President Kamala Harris. He didn’t lose them by as much, but he still lost them.

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...

TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: fakenews; fraud; mandate; philipbump; tds; trump; washingtoncompost

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Oh my, nothing about the 10 million fraud votes for Biden in 2020.

1 posted on 11/18/2024 12:52:45 PM PST by DallasBiff

To: DallasBiff

The Post is at least still entertaining. What hogwash.

To: DallasBiff

Bump is twisting himself into a pretzel claiming that the loss was not so bad. This is the Soros paid propaganda machine’s daily narrative. Don’t change course. Double down on the trans agenda. We’re anxious to get to normalizing pedophilia. We can win the next time by lying more.

To: DallasBiff

2020 was fraught with so much fraud. Absentee ballots were so ubiquitous people had them coming out of their socks.

4 posted on 11/18/2024 12:59:25 PM PST by ProudDeplorable (Concentrated power has always been the enemy of liberty. ~ Ronald Reagan)

To: DallasBiff

Delusion turned out to be their biggest problem this year. I hope they continue on with it as this headline would suggest.

5 posted on 11/18/2024 12:59:29 PM PST by Migraine ( )

To: DallasBiff

Thanks for posting this BS.

You know they hate you and tried to kill your candidate twice.

To: DallasBiff

7 posted on 11/18/2024 1:00:41 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)

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