When You’re Losing a War, Try Terrorism — The Ukrainian Gambit

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Posted on 12/26/2024 8:38:52 PM PST by Kazan

Terrorism -- i.e., the use of violence on civilians and civilian targets for a political purpose -- is an act of weakness, not strength. A couple of incidents -- the crash of an Azerbaijani airplane in Aktau, Kazakhstan, and the sinking of the Oboronlogistica, a Russian state-controlled company that operated the Ursa Major freighter, in the Mediterranean Sea between Spain and Algeria -- are characterized as terrorist attacks. Maybe.

While Western media immediately blamed the plane crash on Russian air defense-missile, the video and the wreckage do not support that claim. Yes, the fuselage was peppered with shrapnel holes, but those happened several minutes before the plane crashed. If the plane had been hit by a missile, it would not have continued flying with wings intact, which it did, as you can see in the following video (at link).

Whatever brought the plane down was not a heat seeking missile -- the engines are still attached to the wing and the plane is not on fire. It does not appear that the crash was caused by a mechanical malfunction. The West hopped on this event early, hoping to score some propaganda points against Russia. But there is no evidence yet to support the claim that this was the result of a Russian battery firing on the civilian airliner.

The sinking of the ship in the Med is a different matter. This bears all the hallmarks of an attack. Sinking the Oboronlogistica does nothing to hurt Russia's maritime capability, and certainly has no bearing on the ground war in Ukraine. Some have suggested the damage was the result of a submarine attack. But the reports of the damage to the ship indicate a different kind of device, such as a limpet mine.

Besides the plane crash and sunk ship, Ukraine's SBU has tried to execute additional attacks in Moscow. During the last couple of days, Russian security services announced the capture of several individuals who had been recruited to carry out terrorist attacks using explosives. Here are two examples:

The FSB in the Moscow region prevented a terrorist attack by Ukrainian special services against the head of a defense enterprise, the Russian Investigative Committee reports.

The service detained seven Russians who were planning to blow up a top manager of a defense enterprise in his personal car using a homemade bomb. Three of the detainees are minors.

Saboteurs tried to give a mined letter to the head of the Archangel project

This was announced by the project curator, who is training UAV operators, Vitaly Romanov. The video shows that the explosive device is hidden in a backlit frame.

📝 “On December 22, they tried to give Mikhail a mined gift certificate. This took place under the control of Russian special services. The courier and the bomber were detained immediately,” he said.

These are moves of desperation. Ukraine is behaving like a punch-drunk fighter, throwing wild punches but landing no meaningful hits. I expect we will see more of this in the coming weeks as Ukrainian prospects on the battlefield become more dire. Speaking of dire, the following video shows a Ukrainian soldier explaining why he surrendered to the Russians (at link).

This soldier's testimony is consistent with the losses reported in Andrei's video -- Ukraine has suffered more than 500,000 killed and wounded in 2024 alone. The numbers are horrific for the Ukrainian side, and these kind of losses are not sustainable. The curtain is coming down on Ukraine.

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1 posted on 12/26/2024 8:38:52 PM PST by Kazan

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