Why Trump 2.0 could push China-US relations into ‘high-risk’ territory

By South China Morning Post | Created at 2025-01-01 14:06:20 | Updated at 2025-01-04 08:12:32 2 days ago
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Washington’s duplicity in its China policy and the looming chaos in American politics could push Sino-American ties into high-risk territory during Donald Trump’s second stint in the White House, a Chinese foreign policy expert has warned.

Although US-China ties are entering a high-risk period, Beijing will remain hopeful about “win-win cooperation” and peaceful coexistence, according to Shen Yamei, director of the Institute of American Studies at the China Institute of International Studies, a government-linked think tank in Beijing.

In a commentary last week, Shen spoke highly of the US-China detente following an eventful year, especially amid concerns among China watchers that Washington might cause China-US relations to deteriorate during the election year.

“However, the contradiction between China and the United States is structural, while the stability currently restored to the relationship is not,” she wrote in the biweekly journal World Affairs, which is published by a press controlled by the Chinese foreign ministry.

“As the US locks in its strategy of great power competition, China-US ties still face enormous challenges.”

She credited outgoing US President Joe Biden’s administration for adjusting its tactics from “intense competition” to “managing competition”, which helped stabilise ties by reopening “more than 20 communication mechanisms”.

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