Lone tv poll to accurately predict the 2016 election forecasts whether Trump or Kamala Harris will win in 2024

By Daily Mail (U.S.) | Created at 2024-10-31 16:12:05 | Updated at 2024-11-06 17:42:29 6 days ago
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By Rachel Bowman For Dailymail.Com

Published: 15:49 GMT, 31 October 2024 | Updated: 15:59 GMT, 31 October 2024

As the 2024 Presidential election inches closer, one of the only TV show audience polls to accurately predict the results of 2016 race has made their forecast on who will win the White House.

Bravo icon Andy Cohen asked Watch What Happens Live viewers on Wednesday to share who they would vote for to be the next president: Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump.

He shared that his audience accurately predicted that Trump would beat Hillary Clinton in 2016 - contrary to most polling at the time.

'We were the only show at the time to predict the winner of that election, so we are going to do it again. I want to see where our audience stands in 2024,' Cohen said. 

Bravo icon Andy Cohen asked Watch What Happens Live viewers on Wednesday to share who they will support in the presidential election

The Watch What Happens Live audience accurately predicted that Trump would beat Hillary Clinton in 2016

During the 2016 episode, Cohen's guests were Heather Dubrow from The Real Housewives of Orange County and comedian Rob Corddry.

At the time, 65 percent of viewers said they were supporting Trump and 25 percent were supporting Clinton. 

In 2016, most surveys found that Clinton held a couple point lead heading into Election Day.

FiveThirtyEight's national presidential polling average showed the Democrat with a 3.9 point advantage. The RealClearPolitics national presidential polling average showed Clinton up 3.2 points.

Cohen - along with his celebrity guests Meredith Marks and Adam Pally - reconducted the poll with his audience on Wednesday. 

'If the election were held today, would you vote for Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?' Cohen said.

For the 2024 election, 73 percent of Watch What Happens Live viewers said they would vote for Harris and 27 percent said they would vote for Trump.

'Wow. All right, OK. I thought that was going to go the other way,' he said. 'Well, there you go. This is interesting, you guys are going for Kamala Harris. That is what we would call a landslide.' 

For the 2024 election, 73 percent of Watch What Happens Live views said Harris will win and 27 percent voted from Trump

On October 23, Cohen endorsed Harris in an Instagram post supporting her stance on reproductive rights, gun control and supporting the middle class.

'I am voting for Kamala Harris because: I believe women should have jurisdiction over their bodies,' he said.

'As a gay American dad who had kids through IVF, the Supreme Court is on the ballot and I don’t want it filled with (more) right wing extremists who will take away my rights.

'I believe in sensible gun control. I believe in building the middle class, and raising the minimum wage. She is mentally fit to serve as Commander in Chief and not too old for the job. America should never cozy up to dictators. She will be a President for all Americans.

'I believe January 6 was one of the darkest days in our history, the result of a weak man’s fragile ego. I don’t want to go back!' 

The final DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners national poll before Election Day showed the former president holding a three-point lead over the vice president

Cohen endorsed Harris in an Instagram post supporting her stance on reproductive rights, gun control and supporting the middle class

The final DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners national poll before Election Day showed the former president holding a three-point lead over the vice president.

The poll of 1,000 likely voters, which has margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent, shows that Trump is trending up, with the support of 49 percent to Harris' 46 percent.

The race is still close, but Trump has done better at picking up support from independents and undecided voters in the final push, according to the data.

The vice president held a one-point lead when the poll was last conducted in September.

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