By The Rio Times | Created at 2026-10-15 01:42:06 | Updated at 2026-10-16 05:52:35
1 day ago
Key Facts
- West Texas Intermediate rose about 1% to US$95.09 a barrel on Wednesday 14 October, and Brent rose 0.3% to US$106.01, El Financiero reported.
- The USO oil fund gained 0.31% to US$153.56, a fund price, not a barrel price.
- Ecopetrol rose 2.17% to US$17.90, Petrobras 1.73% to US$25.94 and YPF 0.89% to US$52.25, as Latin American producers followed crude higher.
- The American Petroleum Institute reported a draw of 11.1 million barrels in US crude stocks, against a forecast build of 1.9 million, after the market closed.
- Prediction markets: Polymarket gives 44.5% that WTI touches US$100 in October (US$2.28 million traded, read at 8:25 pm ET on 14 October). Bets, not forecasts.
Today’s Focus
Oil rose on Wednesday 14 October even as stocks and metals fell. US crude gained about 1% to US$95.09 a barrel, and Brent 0.3% to US$106.01.
Latin American producers followed: Ecopetrol rose 2.17%, Petrobras 1.73% and YPF 0.89% in New York.
After the close, the American Petroleum Institute reported a large draw in US crude stocks.
What matters today. Oil rose on a day when the dollar and most metals did the opposite, which matters to US investors in Colombia’s Ecopetrol, Brazil’s Petrobras and Argentina’s YPF.
01 The session in one read
US crude rose about 1% to US$95.09 and Brent about 0.3% to US$106.01. Oil rose while the S&P 500 fell 1.11%.
The USO fund gained 0.31% to US$153.56, which is the price of a fund share, not of a barrel.
Assessment — Oil bucks the trend MEDIUM
Crude rose while other assets fell, which suggests supply concerns outweighed the dollar. The data after the close points the same way.
The variable to watch is the official inventory report, because it will confirm or reverse the API figure.
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02 The board
| WTI crude (per barrel) | US$95.09 | +1.01% |
| Brent crude (per barrel) | US$106.01 | +0.30% |
| Oil (USO fund) | US$153.56 | +0.31% |
| Ecopetrol (NYSE) | US$17.90 | +2.17% |
| Petrobras (NYSE) | US$25.94 | +1.73% |
| YPF (NYSE) | US$52.25 | +0.89% |
The fund and the shares trade in New York in dollars. Crude prices come from El Financiero and Infobae.
Rio Times · Live Market Intelligence
Latin America — Cross-Market Board
Regional
Oct 14, 2026 · 21:51
Ibovespa · benchmark
206,505.98 -0.18%
L 167,142day rangeH 168,310
+21.85% over 12 months
Market breadth · 5 names
20% advancing
1 ▲ advancing4 declining ▼
Currencies, rates & key inputs
Latin America scoreboard
IndexLastTodayStrength
IbovespaBrazil 206,505.98 -0.18%
S&P/BMV IPCMexico 66,659.01 -0.46%
S&P IPSAChile 10,966.21 -0.49%
S&P MERVALArgentina 2,835,843 -1.16%
MSCI COLCAPColombia 2,582.29 +0.46%
BVL S&P PerúPeru 60,511.74 -1.60%
Full instrument board
| IBOV | 206,505.98 | -0.18% | +21.85% | 206,887.52 | 168,310 | 167,142 | — |
| IPSA | 10,966.21 | -0.49% | — | 11,020.01 | 11,210 | 10,984 | 1,513,213,483 |
| IPC MEX | 66,659.01 | -0.46% | +12.17% | 66,965.15 | 66,121 | 65,405 | 108,886,187 |
| MERVAL | 2,835,843 | -1.16% | +30.51% | 3,022,485 | 3,042,365 | 2,991,150 | — |
| COLCAP | 2,582.29 | +0.46% | — | 9.04 | 9.05 | 9.02 | 4,133 |
| BVL PERÚ | 60,511.74 | -1.60% | — | — | — | — | — |
| USD/BRL | 5.16 | +0.01% | -5.13% | 5.16 | 5.18 | 5.14 | — |
| EUR/BRL | 5.95 | +1.01% | -5.83% | 5.89 | 5.98 | 5.94 | — |
| USD/MXN | 17.06 | -0.24% | -8.58% | 17.10 | 17.08 | 17.01 | — |
| USD/CLP | 913.98 | +0.04% | -5.67% | 913.65 | 915.11 | 906.68 | — |
| USD/COP | 3,140 | +0.03% | -22.04% | 3,139 | 3,141 | 3,105 | — |
| USD/PEN | 3.36 | -0.66% | -4.82% | 3.38 | 3.38 | 3.35 | — |
| USD/ARS | 1,493 | +0.10% | +12.96% | 1,491 | 1,494 | 1,480 | — |
| USD/UYU | 40.27 | +1.24% | +1.80% | 39.77 | 40.27 | 40.23 | — |
| USD/PYG | 5,939 | +1.68% | -19.54% | 5,841 | 5,939 | 5,925 | — |
| USD/BOB | 11.64 | -0.76% | +72.04% | 11.73 | 11.72 | 11.64 | — |
| USD/DOP | 58.34 | +1.25% | -3.44% | 57.62 | 58.34 | 58.04 | — |
| USD/CRC | 445.92 | +0.89% | -9.71% | 441.97 | 448.50 | 445.92 | — |
Largest moves today
USD/PYG 5,939 +1.68%
BVL PERÚ 60,511.74 -1.60%
USD/DOP 58.34 +1.25%
USD/UYU 40.27 +1.24%
MERVAL 2,835,843 -1.16%
EUR/BRL 5.95 +1.01%
USD/CRC 445.92 +0.89%
USD/BOB 11.64 -0.76%
The session read
The Ibovespa eased 0.18%, with breadth negative — 1 of 5 names higher. COLCAP led, while BVL PERÚ lagged.
E
◆ Live Company Intelligence
Ecopetrol
NYSE: ECECOPETROLEnergyOil & Gas Integrated
$36.02B
Market cap
Analyst target $14.30
Wall Street view
2.4Reduce/ 5
0 Buy7 Hold4 Sell
Avg. price target $14.30 · -2% vs 200-day
Valuation & profitability
Market cap$36.02B
Revenue (TTM)$125.67T
P / E ratio9.5
Profit margin10.2%
Return on equity16.0%
Price & risk
52-wk low
$8.1652-wk high
$18.38
Beta (volatility)-0.04
200-day average$14.65
Revenue trend · 6y
20202025
Latest $111.48T
Ownership
Institutions1.4%
Shares outstanding2.06B
Top holderBlackRock Inc
Institutional holders5+ funds
Dividend
No regular dividend — earnings reinvested for growth.
What Ecopetrol does. Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining and Petrochemicals; and Energy transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas. The Transport and Logistics segment is involved in…
03 What moved it
The American Petroleum Institute reported after the close that US commercial crude stocks fell by 11.1 million barrels in the week to 9 October, against a forecast rise of 1.9 million. The data came after Wednesday’s settlement, so it will matter on Thursday.
The strong dollar usually weighs on oil, and US inflation of 3.7% beat the 3.6% forecast, yet crude rose.
04 The Latin American read
Colombia, Brazil and Argentina all benefit from higher crude. Ecopetrol rose 2.17% and Petrobras 1.73% in New York, while Petrobras gained 2.22% in São Paulo, InfoMoney reported.
Argentina’s YPF rose 0.89% to US$52.25, while the Merval fell 1.2%.
05 The names to watch
Ecopetrol is Colombia’s state-controlled oil company and its biggest listed firm. Petrobras is Brazil’s state-controlled producer and YPF is Argentina’s.
PRIO, a Brazilian offshore producer, rose 2.29% in São Paulo.
What Prediction Markets Say
Polymarket, a prediction market, priced 44.5% for WTI touching US$100 in October and 68.0% for touching US$90, with US$2,277,988 traded (read at 8:25 pm ET on 14 October). It also priced 10.5% for a crude oil all-time high by 31 December.
These prices are bets, not forecasts, and they can move quickly on new data.
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
06 The outlook
Official US inventory data on Thursday will show whether the API draw holds. Oil is now the main support for Latin American producers.
What it means for you: if you hold oil stocks in dollars, crude is a hedge against a strong dollar for now, and Brent at US$106 is a high price for importers.
07 What to watch
- US inventories: The official report on Thursday will confirm or reverse the API draw.
- Brent: A move through US$110 would raise costs for fuel importers.
- Ecopetrol: Its shares track crude and the Colombian peso.
- US data: US retail sales on Thursday 15 October at 12:30 UTC.
Background: Oil Fund Gains 1.36% as Ecopetrol Rises 1.68%.
Background: Argentina Stocks Gain 1.45% as Inflation Hits 1.9%.
More: Latin America news in English, every day from The Rio Times.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the price of oil?
West Texas Intermediate rose about 1% to US$95.09 a barrel and Brent 0.3% to US$106.01 on 14 October, El Financiero reported.
What is the USO price?
The USO oil fund closed at US$153.56, up 0.31%. It is a fund share and not a barrel price.
Which Latin American oil stocks rose?
Ecopetrol rose 2.17%, Petrobras 1.73% and YPF 0.89% in New York.
What do prediction markets say about oil?
Polymarket priced 44.5% for WTI touching US$100 in October, as of 8:25 pm ET on 14 October. These are bets, not forecasts.
Market data: RT; US inflation: US Bureau of Labor Statistics; China data: National Bureau of Statistics and customs; crude prices: El Financiero, Infobae; Brazilian shares: InfoMoney; API data: economic calendar; prediction markets: Polymarket (as of 8:25 pm ET, 14 October 2026)
This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief
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